Use of the Box and Jenkins time series technique in traffic forecasting

Journal Article · Sun Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 1980 · Transplantation; (United States)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00167127· OSTI ID:6475469

Nihan, N L; Holmesland, K O

The use of recently developed time series techniques for short-term traffic volume forecasting is examined. A data set containing monthly volumes on a freeway segment for 1968-76 is used to fit a time series model. The resultant model is used to forecast volumes for 1977. The forecast volumes are then compared with actual volumes in 1977. Time series techniques can be used to develop highly accurate and inexpensive short-term forecasts. The feasibility of using these models to evaluate the effects of policy changes or other outside impacts is considered. (1 diagram, 1 map, 14 references,2 tables)

• Research Organization: Univ of Washington
• OSTI ID: 6475469
• Journal Information: Transplantation; (United States), Vol. 9:2
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
ENERGY POLICY
TRAFFIC CONTROL
FORECASTING
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
CONTROL
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
290100* - Energy Planning & Policy- Energy Analysis & Modeling