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Use of the Box and Jenkins time series technique in traffic forecasting

Journal Article · · Transplantation; (United States)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00167127· OSTI ID:6475469
The use of recently developed time series techniques for short-term traffic volume forecasting is examined. A data set containing monthly volumes on a freeway segment for 1968-76 is used to fit a time series model. The resultant model is used to forecast volumes for 1977. The forecast volumes are then compared with actual volumes in 1977. Time series techniques can be used to develop highly accurate and inexpensive short-term forecasts. The feasibility of using these models to evaluate the effects of policy changes or other outside impacts is considered. (1 diagram, 1 map, 14 references,2 tables)
Research Organization:
Univ of Washington
OSTI ID:
6475469
Journal Information:
Transplantation; (United States), Journal Name: Transplantation; (United States) Vol. 9:2; ISSN TRPLA
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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