1980 motor gasoline supply and demand. Analysis menorandum AM/ES/79-12

Technical Report · Fri Dec 01 04:00:00 EST 1978

OSTI ID:6457903

Tukenmez, E; Farmer, R; McDaniel, H; Everett, C; Walton, H

For 1980 motor gasoline consumption is projected to range from 7.58 to 7.96 MMB/D depending on the level of economic activity and the extent of improvement in the fuel efficiency of the automoile fleet. Depending on the state of the economy, low levels of conservation indicate a range of 1980 consumption levels which vary from 7.88 to 7.96 MMB/D. With high conservation the levels are from 7.58 to 7.66 MMB/D. With 1980 consumption of motor gasoline at these projected levels, the refining industry will have to take certain actions to increase supplies, particularly to offset the effects of the sharp phasedown of octane-increasing lead additives. The industry will be required to reduce the lead level to about 0.5 grams per gallon by October, putting pressure on downstream refinery units which make high octane clear pool gasoline. The estimated effect of this phasedown is a reduction of possible gasoline output by about 500 thousand barrels per day in 1980. The refining industry may increase gasoline supplies by increasing capacity utilization rates of downstream units to levels that are higher than the normal industry practice, using manganese additives in leaded grades as permitted by the EPA, and somewhat reducing the octane rating of some or all of the gasoline grades they produce.

• Research Organization: Department of Energy, Washington, DC (USA). Energy Information Administration
• OSTI ID: 6457903
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0102/32
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

02 PETROLEUM
020700* -- Petroleum-- Economics
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
320203 -- Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization-- Transportation-- Land & Roadway
AUTOMOTIVE FUELS
DEMAND FACTORS
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUELS
GASOLINE
INDUSTRY
PETROLEUM INDUSTRY
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
PETROLEUM REFINERIES
SUPPLY AND DEMAND