Issues in qualitative and quantitative risk analysis for developmental toxicology

Journal Article · Tue Mar 01 04:00:00 EST 1988 · Risk Anal.; (United States)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1988.tb01149.x· OSTI ID:6408533

Kimmel, C A; Gaylor, D W

The qualitative and quantitative evaluation of risk in developmental toxicology has been discussed in several recent publications. A number of issues still are to be resolved in this area. The qualitative evaluation and interpretation of end points in developmental toxicology depends on an understanding of the biological events leading to the end points observed, the relationships among end points, and their relationship to dose and to maternal toxicity. The interpretation of these end points is also affected by the statistical power of the experiments used for detecting the various end points observed. The quantitative risk assessment attempts to estimate human risk for developmental toxicity as a function of dose. The current approach is to apply safety (uncertainty) factors to the no observed effect level (NOEL). An alternative presented and discussed here is to model the experimental data and apply a safety factor to an estimated risk level to achieve an acceptable level of risk. In cases where the dose-response curves upward, this approach provides a conservative estimate of risk. This procedure does not preclude the existence of a threshold dose. More research is needed to develop appropriate dose-response models that can provide better estimates for low-dose extrapolation of developmental effects.

• Research Organization: Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC (USA)
• OSTI ID: 6408533
• Journal Information: Risk Anal.; (United States), Journal Name: Risk Anal.; (United States) Vol. 8:1; ISSN RIAND
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

560300* -- Chemicals Metabolism & Toxicology
63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTANT EFFECTS ON LIVING ORGS. AND BIOL. MAT.
BIOASSAY
BIOLOGICAL EFFECTS
DATA COVARIANCES
DEATH
DOSE LIMITS
DOSE-RESPONSE RELATIONSHIPS
FETUSES
HAZARDS
HEALTH HAZARDS
HUMAN POPULATIONS
LABORATORY ANIMALS
MATERIALS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MAXIMUM PERMISSIBLE DOSE
PARTURITION
POPULATIONS
PREGNANCY
PRENATAL EXPOSURE
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION
REPRODUCTION
RISK ASSESSMENT
SAFETY STANDARDS
STANDARDS
STATISTICAL MODELS
TOXIC MATERIALS
TOXICITY