Short-term energy outlook

Technical Report · Mon Nov 18 04:00:00 EST 1991

OSTI ID:6362811

This report is published once a year as a complement to the Short-Term Energy Outlook (Outlook), quarterly projections. The purpose of the supplement is to review the accuracy of the forecasts published in the Outlook, make comparisons with other independent energy forecasts, and examine current energy topics that affect the forecasts. Included in the report is an evaluation of the accuracy of the short-term energy forecasts published in the last six issues of the Outlook, for 1990 through the first half of 1991 and a comparison of EIA's based or mid'' case energy projections as published in the second quarter 1991 Outlook with recent projections made by five other major forecasting groups. The section focuses on macroeconomic assumptions, primary energy demand, and primary energy supply showing the differences and similarities in the six forecasts. A chapter describing the comparison of Bayesian VAR and unrestricted VAR forecasting models of motor gasoline and distillate fuel prices and quantities is also included. 13 figs., 6 tabs.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• Sponsoring Organization: DOE; USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• OSTI ID: 6362811
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0202(91); ON: DE92003655
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

02 PETROLEUM
020700 -- Petroleum-- Economics
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
294001* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
294002 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Petroleum
294003 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Natural Gas
296000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DATA
ECONOMICS
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUEL OILS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GAS OILS
GASES
GASOLINE
HEATING OILS
IMPORTS
INFORMATION
LIQUID FUELS
MATERIALS
NATURAL GAS
NUMERICAL DATA
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM FRACTIONS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
SUPPLY AND DEMAND