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U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Short-term energy outlook: Annual supplement 1989

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/5429913· OSTI ID:5429913
This Supplement is published once a year as a complement to the Short-Term Energy Outlook, Quarterly Projections (Outlook). The purpose is to review the accuracy of the forecasts presented in the Outlook, make comparisons with other independent energy forecasts, and examine current energy topics that affect the forecasts. A brief description of the content of each chapter follows below: Chapter 2 evaluates the accuracy of the short-term energy forecasts published in the last 6 issues of the Outlook, for 1988/1989. Chapter 3 discusses the economics of the petrochemical feedstock market, and describes a new model which more fully captures the determinants of feedstock demand. Chapter 4 examines present and proposed new methods of forecasting short-term natural gas prices at the wellhead and spot prices. Chapter 5 discusses the modeling of natural demand in the short term. Chapter 6 discusses regional trends in the demand for fuel by electric utilities. Chapter 7 focuses on industrial coal use trends in recent years. Chapter 8 compares EIA's base case energy projections as published in the Outlook (89/2Q) with recent projections made by three other major forecasting groups. The chapter focuses on macroeconomic assumptions, primary energy demand, and primary energy supply, showing the differences and similarities in the four forecasts.
Research Organization:
USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (USA). Office of Energy Markets and End Use
Sponsoring Organization:
DOE/MA
OSTI ID:
5429913
Report Number(s):
DOE/EIA-0202(89); ON: DE90002593
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English