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The use of expert judgment elicitation to predict future climate for the Yucca Mountain Nevada vicinity

Conference ·
OSTI ID:60772
;  [1];  [2];  [3];  [4]
  1. Center for Nuclear Waste Regulatory Analyses, San Antonio, TX (United States)
  2. Univ. of Oregon, Eugene, OR (United States)
  3. Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX (United States)
  4. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Rockville, MD (United States)

Expert judgment elicitations are expected to supplement other data used to assess the long-term safety of a high-level waste (HLW) geologic repository. The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is examining the applicability of expert judgment elicitation to the licensing process. This paper describes the basis and conduct of an expert judgment elicitation project focused on the future climate around Yucca Mountain, Nevada (YMNV). Results in terms of climate predictions over the next 10,000 years are presented.

Research Organization:
American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, NY (United States); American Nuclear Society, La Grange Park, IL (United States)
OSTI ID:
60772
Report Number(s):
CONF-940553--Vol.3; CNN: Contract NRC-02-88-005
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English