Assessing volcanic hazard at Yucca Mountain using expert judgment
- Geomatrix Consultants, Inc., San Francisco, CA (United States)
- Department of Energy, Las Vegas, NV (United States); and others
A study to assess the probability of a future volcanic event disrupting the potential repository at Yucca Mountain, termed the Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Analysis (PVHA) project, is being sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). This assessment, which is focused on the volcanic hazard at the site, expressed as the probability of disruption of the potential repository, will eventually provide input to an assessment of volcanic risk, which expresses the probability of radionuclide release due to volcanic disruption. To ensure that a wide range of approaches are considered in the hazard analysis, judgments of members of an expert panel will be elicited. The results of the individual elicitations will be combined to develop an integrated assessment of the volcanic hazard that reflects the diversity of scientific interpretations. This paper outlines the hazard model components and the procedures for eliciting expert judgments.
- OSTI ID:
- 127212
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-9504179--
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Similar Records
Results of the probabilistic volcanic hazard analysis project
UPDATE TO THE PROBABILISTIC VOLCANIC HAZARD ANALYSIS, YUCCA MOUNTAIN, NEVADA