Oak Ridge Industrial Model: an introduction

Conference · Tue Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1980

OSTI ID:5615330

Reister, D B; Barnes, R W; Edmonds, J A

The Oak Ridge Industrial Model (ORIM) was initially developed for the Energy Information Administration to forecast demand for five types of fuel and electricity by the manufacturing sector in the ten federal regions. Recently, the model has been used by the office of Coal Utilization to forecast market penetration of new technologies which use coal. ORIM divides the national market into about 100,000 submarkets based on region, industry, vintage of capital stock, and characteristic type of energy service. For each of the submarkets, ORIM estimates the probability that a fuel will capture the submarket. Regional forecasts are obtained by summing over the submarkets. The ORIM energy demand forecasts are influenced by energy prices, the fuel use act, tax regulations, and environmental regulations.

• Research Organization: Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (USA); Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Inc., TN (USA); Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Inc., Washington, DC (USA). Inst. for Energy Analysis
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-26
• OSTI ID: 5615330
• Report Number(s): CONF-801152-3; ON: DE82004085
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
CHEMICAL REACTIONS
COAL
COMBINED CYCLES
COMBUSTION
DEMAND
DESULFURIZATION
DIRECT ENERGY CONVERTERS
DISPERSIONS
ELECTROCHEMICAL CELLS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
FLUE GAS
FLUIDIZED-BED COMBUSTION
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL CELLS
FUEL OILS
FUEL SLURRIES
FUELS
GASEOUS WASTES
HIGH-TEMPERATURE FUEL CELLS
LIQUID FUELS
MARKET
MATERIALS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MIXTURES
MOLTEN CARBONATE FUEL CELLS
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OXIDATION
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
SLURRIES
SUSPENSIONS
THERMOCHEMICAL PROCESSES
THERMODYNAMIC CYCLES
WASTES