A model of migration in the Ohio River Basin Energy Study region

Technical Report · Tue Sep 01 04:00:00 EDT 1981

OSTI ID:5545667

Gordon, S I; Badger, C

The report was prepared as part of the Ohio River Basin Energy Study (ORBES), a multidisciplinary policy research program. It examines the impact of regional energy development scenarios and policies on the internal movements of population and industry within the project study region, which covers all of Kentucky, most of West Virginia, and substantial portions of Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. For any particular economic and population forecast, some level of regional growth is implied. The location of this growth within the region may be influenced by, or may induce, the location and movement of population within the region. No national-level projections were generated that would allow the generation and use of a model to predict such migration. Thus, this report covers the attempt to develop such a regional model. First, other attempts to derive empirical models of migration that relate to the theory behind the model developed here are reviewed. Data sources are described in terms of geography, time, and variable type. The models derived are then described, and the pros and cons of using each for simulating ORBES regional impacts are discussed. Finally, one of these models is used to simulate the migration impacts of the ORBES scenarios under alternative sets of assumptions.

• Research Organization: Ohio River Basin Energy Study, Urbana, IL (USA)
• OSTI ID: 5545667
• Report Number(s): PB-82-109869
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
530100* -- Environmental-Social Aspects of Energy Technologies-- Social & Economic Studies-- (-1989)
530200 -- Environmental-Social Aspects of Energy Technologies-- Assessment of Energy Technologies-- (-1989)
CENTRAL REGION
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT
FORECASTING
GREAT LAKES REGION
HUMAN POPULATIONS
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
INDUSTRY
KENTUCKY
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NORTH AMERICA
OHIO
OHIO RIVER
PENNSYLVANIA
POPULATION DYNAMICS
POPULATIONS
POWER PLANTS
RIVERS
SOCIAL IMPACT
SOUTHEAST REGION
STREAMS
SURFACE WATERS
THERMAL POWER PLANTS
USA
WEST VIRGINIA