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U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Rising gasoline prices and federal automobile efficiency standards: their impact on consumer choice

Book ·
OSTI ID:5535488
This paper models consumer choice of the privately optimal (PO) level of automobile efficiency in response to changes in expected real gasoline prices. A model of consumer choice is developed where the consumer maximizes the utility from automobile attributes, subject to a technology constraint relating efficiency to attributes and an automobile expenditure budget constraint. Calculation of the first-order conditions for utility maximization indicates that the optimizing consumer will equate the marginal utility of each attribute to its marginal costs for both capital and gasoline expenditures. Comparative statics analysis of these first-order conditions allows estimation of the change in the optimal attribute choice with respect to an instantaneous change in the current price of gasoline or a change in the expected growth rate in the real price of gasoline. The chief empirical result of the paper is obtained by deriving elasticities of the implied change in PO efficiency levels in response to these price changes. These elasticities indicate substantial price responsiveness, suggesting that consumers responding to price increases will achieve substantial increases in new-car fleet efficiencies without government-set mpg standards. 25 reference, 7 tables.
OSTI ID:
5535488
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English