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A comparison of model predictions and observations of the transfer of /sup 137/Cs through the air-pasture-cow-milk pathway

Conference ·
OSTI ID:5482150
Environmental measurements reported for selected locations in the United States and Europe following the Chernobyl accident were compared with model predictions of the transfer of /sup 137/Cs through the air-pasture-cow-milk pathway. The models evaluated include IAEA Safety Series No. 57, AIRDOS/EPA, NRC Regulatory Guides 1.109 and 1.111, the National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP) screening model, and the PATHWAY dynamic food-chain model. Time integrals of the /sup 137/Cs concentrations in air, pasture, and milk were estimated, and the predicted and observed grass/air, milk/air, and milk/grass concentration ratios were compared. Model predictions of the transfer of /sup 137/Cs from air to pasture and from pasture to milk tended to exceed observations. Those of PATHWAY were an exception; PATHWAY consistently underpredicted the grass/air and milk/air concentration ratios due to the use of parameter values specific for the deposition of large particles and their interception and retention by vegetation. Some of the models were flexible enough to permit parameter adjustment. In these cases, parameter values could be adjusted to the specific conditions determined for a location, which substantially reduced the discrepancy between predictions and observations. 22 refs., 8 tabs.
Research Organization:
Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (USA); Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (USA)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-48
OSTI ID:
5482150
Report Number(s):
UCRL-96664; CONF-8710169-2; ON: DE88005675
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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