Risk assessment in dam safety analysis
While those involved in the design and construction of dams have an excellent safety record, the fact that dam failures have occurred requires the engineering profession to re-examine current design practices. A design system that permits the assessment of risk for all design factors that involve uncertainty and relates the relative risks to the overall risk of failure would be a major improvement over the factor of safety approach to design. This can be accomplished using Bayesian decision theory. The Bayesian approach was demonstrated for the design of a small earth dam used to control flooding in construction areas, and its use was discussed as a means of selecting the optimum design hydrograph.
- Research Organization:
- Univ. of Maryland, College Park
- OSTI ID:
- 5330488
- Journal Information:
- J. Wash. Acad. Sci.; (United States), Journal Name: J. Wash. Acad. Sci.; (United States) Vol. 69:4; ISSN JWASA
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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