Multisector analysis of the impact of geothermal development on the economy of Imperial County, California

Book · Sat Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1977

OSTI ID:5290225

Lofting, E M

An 85 sector input--output model or Imperial County was developed for 1972. The model was based on secondary data sources and modified national technical coefficients using the SLQ technique. Type I and type II income, employment, and value added multipliers were developed for each sector. Projections of economic activity were made for the 1975--2020 period based on population projections which (I) assumed no geothermal development in the county and (III) assumed geothermal development and relatively rapid population growth. Agricultural development was assumed to grow to 1.8 times its present level in both cases. For the Series I projection per capita income in 1972 constant dollars will remain essentially constant, while in the Series III projection it is estimated to increase from $4500 to $7100 per year. In both cases the employment to population ratio can be expected to remain relatively constant. Geothermal development is projected to add $700 million per year to the personal income of Imperial County by the year 2020. The linear programming analysis reveals that achieving projected growth in agricultural output will require an improvement in water use efficiency of at least 35%. When compared to alternative policies, such as attempting to maximize gross county product, employment maximizing policies may not result in significant increases in employment.

• OSTI ID: 5290225
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

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CALIFORNIA
COMPUTER CALCULATIONS
COMPUTER CODES
DATA PROCESSING
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMICS
ECONOMY
ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT
GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES
IMPERIAL VALLEY
LINEAR PROGRAMMING
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICS
NORTH AMERICA
PROCESSING
RECOMMENDATIONS
REGIONAL ANALYSIS
RESOURCES
SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS
STATISTICS
USA