Manpower for the coal mining industry: an assessment of adequacy through the year 2000. Volume I. Executive summary. Final technical report. [USA; forcasting]
This report presents a summary of the analytical approach taken and the conclusions reached in an assessment of the supply and demand for manpower in the coal mining industry through the year 2000. A hybrid system dynamics/econometric model of the coal mining industry was developed which incorporates relationships between technological change, labor productivity, production costs, wages, graduation rates, and other key variables in estimating imbalances between labor supply and demand. Study results indicate that while the supply of production workers is expected to be sufficient under most future demand scenarios, periodic shortages of experienced workers, especially in the Northern Great Plains, can be expected. Other study findings are that the supply of mining engineers will be sufficient under all but the highest coal demand scenario; a shortage of faculty will affect the supply of mining engineers in the near term; and the employment of mining technicians is expected to exhibit the largest increase in any labor category studied. This volume is an Executive Summary which provides a brief description of the study and gives its major conclusions and recommendations. An accompanying volume (Vol. 11) provides a detailed description of the analytical basis for the study, the sources of data used, and a discussion of the conclusions reached.
- Research Organization:
- Mitre Corp., McLean, VA (USA). METREK Div.
- DOE Contract Number:
- ET-78-C-01-3134
- OSTI ID:
- 5204515
- Report Number(s):
- FE-3134-1; MTR-79W00325-01
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
COAL INDUSTRY
MANPOWER
COAL MINERS
PRODUCTIVITY
EDUCATION
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
COAL
COMPUTER CALCULATIONS
ENGINEERING
FORECASTING
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
PRODUCTION
REGIONAL ANALYSIS
SURFACE MINING
UNDERGROUND MINING
USA
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
ENERGY SOURCES
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
INDUSTRY
MINERS
MINING
NORTH AMERICA
PERSONNEL
012000* - Coal
Lignite
& Peat- Mining
015000 - Coal
Lignite
& Peat- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
294001 - Energy Planning & Policy- Coal