Workshop proceedings: noneconomic factors in energy supply and demand

Conference · Sun Jun 01 04:00:00 EDT 1980

OSTI ID:5140747

Schmid, G.; Lipinski, A.

Uncertainty in energy forecasting arises, in part, from inadequate understanding of noneconomic factors that bear on energy choices and from the difficulty of modeling these factors. Forecasting models based on purely economic factors do not adequately reflect the current circumstances in the US. The workshop participants identified the political, policymaking, regulatory, and social variables that influence the planning processes of utilities today; they also reviewed the modeling techniques for dealing with these noneconomic variables and provided a number of new suggestions for handling them in decision-oriented modeling. Suggestions of areas of future research in modeling noneconomic factors relevant to utility management were made. Brief summaries are presented here of specific papers presented on: politics in the Middle East, land-use decisions, health concerns, demographic factors, technology, government regulation, consumer values, and organizational adjustments.

• Research Organization: Institute for the Future, Menlo Park, CA (USA)
• OSTI ID: 5140747
• Report Number(s): EPRI-WS-78-142; CONF-7906179-(Summ.)
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290200 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Economics & Sociology
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
DECISION MAKING
DEMAND
ECONOMICS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS
LAND USE
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
POLITICAL ASPECTS
POPULATION DYNAMICS
PUBLIC HEALTH
REGULATIONS
SOCIAL IMPACT