Outlook for thermal coal. World Bank staff commodity working paper

Technical Report · Tue Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1985

OSTI ID:5104222

Choe, B J

The paper uses an econometric simulation model of world energy markets to project the competitive supply, demand, and prices for thermal coal as a part of overall energy-balance projections. Under the assumptions of moderate economic growth in the market-economy countries and a pricing path for OPEC oil that remains relatively stable for the rest of the 1980s but increases steadily in the 1990s, the market economies demand for thermal coal is projected to increase from 1,247 mtce in 1982 to 1,505 mtce in 1990 and 2,020 mtce in the year 2000. The share of coal in total primary energy consumption is expected to remain approximately constant for the 1982-90 period but increase slightly in the 1990s.

• Research Organization: International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Washington, DC (USA)
• OSTI ID: 5104222
• Report Number(s): PB-85-209336/XAB; COMMODITY-WP-12
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT
015000* -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290200 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Economics & Sociology
294001 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMICS
ENERGY SOURCES
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
MARKET
MATERIALS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS