Crisis stability indices for adaptive two-layer defenses

Technical Report · Wed Jul 01 00:00:00 EDT 1992

OSTI ID:5020344

Canavan, G H

This report derives an approximate model that contains the features needed to understand the variation of crisis stability indices with defenses. Boost-phase defenses are treated as subtractive; midcourse defenses are treated as preferential and adaptive. Defenses protect some missiles, but not enough for them to retaliate strongly. For moderate defenses, most of the first and second strikes shift to aircraft. Protecting nonalert forces with preferential defenses impacts stability more than nonpreferential defenses. The impact can be minimized by proper combinations of the two. 29 refs.

• Research Organization: Los Alamos National Lab., NM (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: DOE; USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-36
• OSTI ID: 5020344
• Report Number(s): LA-11974-MS-Rev.1; ON: DE92017286
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEFENSE
450500* -- Military Technology
Weaponry
& National Defense-- Strategic Defense Initiative-- (1990-)
AIRCRAFT
BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE
DECISION MAKING
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MILITARY STRATEGY
MISSILES
NATIONAL DEFENSE
REENTRY VEHICLES
SPACE VEHICLES
STABILITY
VEHICLES