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Crisis stability indices for adaptive two-layer defenses. Revision 1

Technical Report ·
OSTI ID:10159976

This report derives an approximate model that contains the features needed to understand the variation of crisis stability indices with defenses. Boost-phase defenses are treated as subtractive; midcourse defenses are treated as preferential and adaptive. Defenses protect some missiles, but not enough for them to retaliate strongly. For moderate defenses, most of the first and second strikes shift to aircraft. Protecting nonalert forces with preferential defenses impacts stability more than nonpreferential defenses. The impact can be minimized by proper combinations of the two. 29 refs.

Research Organization:
Los Alamos National Lab., NM (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-36
OSTI ID:
10159976
Report Number(s):
LA--11974-MS-Rev.1; ON: DE92017286
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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