Machine Learning-Driven Optimization of Building Enclosures for Moisture Durability and Thermal Performance

Conference · Mon Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 2025

OSTI ID:3012516

Salonvaara, Mikael ^[1]; Liu, Boming ^[1]; Dong, Jin ^[1]; Iffa, Emishaw ^[1]; Accawi, Gina ^[1]; Aldykiewicz, Antonio ^[2]

---

1. ORNL
2. Saint-Gobain

The design of moisture-durable building enclosures with low embodied carbon often involves an iterative process of selecting the materials for the specific exposure conditions to meet the performance requirements. While hygrothermal simulations are commonly used to evaluate moisture durability, they often require advanced expertise for proper implementation. Machine learning (ML) provides a promising alternative by streamlining the design process and minimizing the reliance on complex simulations. This study presents a machine learning-based approach for predicting moisture durability in residential wall assemblies. The ML model was trained to estimate the mold index and maximum moisture content of various layers under typical exposure conditions. The model achieved a high predictive accuracy, with a coefficient of determination (R²) exceeding 0.90 when compared to traditional hygrothermal simulations on materials that were not part of training the ML model. Building on these results, the ML model was developed into a practical tool for optimizing wall assembly designs. This tool allows users to automatically optimize material selections based on energy, moisture, and carbon performance criteria. By incorporating multi-objective optimization, the tool identifies configurations that minimize embodied carbon while maintaining moisture safety and code-compliant thermal performance. Additionally, it provides insights into how material choices influence assembly durability, energy efficiency, and carbon reduction. The tool will be implemented in the Building Science Advisor (BSA) to enhance its performance and provide more granularity on the results. This research highlights the potential for ML-driven tools to simplify the design of high-performance building enclosures, offering architects and engineers a faster, more efficient way to balance critical performance factors.

• Research Organization: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE); USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC05-00OR22725
• OSTI ID: 3012516
• Resource Type: Conference paper/presentation
• Conference Information: Buildings XVI Conference - Clearwater Beach, Florida, United States of America - 12/8/2025-12/11/2025
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English