Climate and air pollution implications of potential energy infrastructure and policy measures in India

Yarlagadda, Brinda N.; Smith, Steven J.; Mignone, Bryan K.; Mallapragada, Dharik; Randles, Cynthia A.; Sampedro, Jon

doi:10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100067

Climate and air pollution implications of potential energy infrastructure and policy measures in India

Journal Article · Thu Nov 11 23:00:00 EST 2021 · Energy and Climate Change

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100067· OSTI ID:2998915

^[1]; ^[1]; Mignone, Bryan K. ^[2]; Mallapragada, Dharik ^[3]; ^[2]; ^[1]

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Joint Global Change Research Institute
ExxonMobil Research and Engineering Co., Annandale, NJ (United States)
Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)

India is a rapidly developing economy with interrelated air quality, sustainable development, and climate change mitigation goals. There are unique challenges to achieving each of these goals as well as potential tradeoffs among them. This study examines the implications of possible future energy, climate, and air pollution control policies and measures in India through 2050. We take a scenario approach using the GCAM global energy-climate-land model combined with the Hector simple climate model and the TM5-FASST air quality source-receptor model to examine energy, climate and air quality outcomes. Reducing use of traditional biomass in buildings can reduce primary carbonaceous particulate emissions well below 2015 levels. However, policies that are more ambitious than current plans would likely be required to reduce SO₂ and NO_x emissions well below 2015 levels. Among single policy cases considered, pricing of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and expansion of natural gas infrastructure have the largest impacts on overall energy system changes relative to the reference scenario. Ambitious air pollution control and GHG policies lead to the largest reductions in air pollution concentrations and radiative forcing, respectively. However, ambitious air pollution control and GHG policies differ in the extent to which they support or impede other policy objectives. Forcing increases due to reduced aerosols from ambitious air pollution policies can be mitigated, at least in part, by applying air pollution control and GHG policies together.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Research Organization:: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-76RL01830

OSTI ID:: 2998915

Report Number(s):: PNNL-ACT-SA--10538

Journal Information:: Energy and Climate Change, Journal Name: Energy and Climate Change Vol. 3; ISSN 2666-2787

Publisher:: ElsevierCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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India
air pollution
climate change
energy systems
scenario analysis
sustainable development

Climate and air pollution implications of potential energy infrastructure and policy measures in India

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