Investigating the effects of cooperative transmission expansion planning on grid performance during heat waves with varying spatial scales

Akdemir, Kerem Ziya; Mongird, Kendall; Kern, Jordan D.; Oikonomou, Konstantinos; Voisin, Nathalie; Burleyson, Casey D.; Rice, Jennie S.; Zhao, Mengqi; Bracken, Cameron; Vernon, Chris

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124825

Investigating the effects of cooperative transmission expansion planning on grid performance during heat waves with varying spatial scales

Journal Article · Fri Nov 08 00:00:00 EST 2024 · Applied Energy

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124825· OSTI ID:2539808

^[1]; Mongird, Kendall ^[1]; Kern, Jordan D. ^[2]; Oikonomou, Konstantinos ^[1]; ^[3]; ^[1]; Rice, Jennie S. ^[1]; Zhao, Mengqi ^[1]; ^[1]; ^[1]

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC (United States)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)

There is growing recognition of the advantages of interregional transmission capacity to decarbonize electricity grids. A less explored benefit is potential performance improvements during extreme weather events. This study examines the impacts of cooperative transmission expansion planning using an advanced modeling chain to simulate power grid operations of the United States Western Interconnection in 2019 and 2059 under different levels of collaboration between transmission planning regions. Two historical heat waves in 2019 with varying geographical coverage are replayed under future climate change in 2059 to assess the transmission cooperation benefits during grid stress. The results show that cooperative transmission planning yields the best outcomes in terms of reducing wholesale electricity prices and minimizing energy outages both for the whole interconnection and individual transmission planning regions. Compared to individual planning, cooperative planning reduces wholesale electricity prices by 64.3 % and interconnection-wide total costs (transmission investments + grid operations) by 34.6 % in 2059. It also helps decrease greenhouse gas emissions by increasing renewable energy utilization. However, the benefits of cooperation diminish during the widespread heat wave when all regions face extreme electricity demand due to higher space cooling needs. Despite this, cooperative transmission planning remains advantageous, particularly for California Independent System Operator with significant diurnal solar generation capacity. This study suggests that cooperation in transmission planning is crucial for reducing costs and increasing reliability both during normal periods and extreme weather events. It highlights the importance of optimizing the strategic investments to mitigate challenges posed by wider-scale extreme weather events of the future.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Research Organization:: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth & Environmental Systems Science (EESS)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-76RL01830

OSTI ID:: 2539808

Report Number(s):: PNNL-SA--201280

Journal Information:: Applied Energy, Journal Name: Applied Energy Journal Issue: Part A Vol. 378; ISSN 0306-2619

Publisher:: ElsevierCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

References (37)

The application of artificial intelligent tools to the transmission expansion problem Al-Saba, Tawfiq; El-Amin, Ibrahim Electric Power Systems Research, Vol. 62, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-7796(02)00037-8	journal	June 2002
The role of hydro power, storage and transmission in the decarbonization of the Chinese power system Liu, Hailiang; Brown, Tom; Andresen, Gorm Bruun Applied Energy, Vol. 239 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.02.009	journal	April 2019
The strong effect of network resolution on electricity system models with high shares of wind and solar Frysztacki, Martha Maria; Hörsch, Jonas; Hagenmeyer, Veit Applied Energy, Vol. 291 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116726	journal	June 2021
Opportunities for wave energy in bulk power system operations Akdemir, Kerem Ziya; Robertson, Bryson; Oikonomou, Konstantinos Applied Energy, Vol. 352 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121845	journal	December 2023
Robust transmission expansion planning Ruiz, C.; Conejo, A. J. European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 242, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2014.10.030	journal	April 2015
The value of cooperation in interregional transmission planning: A noncooperative equilibrium model approach Kasina, Saamrat; Hobbs, Benjamin F. European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 285, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.02.018	journal	September 2020
Mixed-integer linear programming models and algorithms for generation and transmission expansion planning of power systems Li, Can; Conejo, Antonio J.; Liu, Peng European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 297, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2021.06.024	journal	March 2022
Core Process Representation in Power System Operational Models: Gaps, Challenges, and Opportunities for Multisector Dynamics Research Oikonomou, Konstantinos; Tarroja, Brian; Kern, Jordan Energy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122049	journal	September 2021
The role of transmission and energy storage in European decarbonization towards 2050 Golombek, Rolf; Lind, Arne; Ringkjøb, Hans-Kristian Energy, Vol. 239 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122159	journal	January 2022
Assessing risks for New England's wholesale electricity market from wind power losses during extreme winter storms Akdemir, Kerem Ziya; Kern, Jordan D.; Lamontagne, Jonathan Energy, Vol. 251 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123886	journal	July 2022
Electricity transmission arrangements in Great Britain: Time for change? Strbac, Goran; Pollitt, Michael; Konstantinidis, Christos Vasilakos Energy Policy, Vol. 73 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.06.014	journal	October 2014
Deep decarbonization in Northeastern North America: The value of electricity market integration and hydropower Rodríguez-Sarasty, Jesús A.; Debia, Sébastien; Pineau, Pierre-Olivier Energy Policy, Vol. 152 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112210	journal	May 2021
Representing power sector detail and flexibility in a multi-sector model Wise, Marshall; Patel, Pralit; Khan, Zarrar Energy Strategy Reviews, Vol. 26 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100411	journal	November 2019
Cost of long-distance energy transmission by different carriers DeSantis, Daniel; James, Brian D.; Houchins, Cassidy iScience, Vol. 24, Issue 12 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2021.103495	journal	December 2021
The Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation Sepulveda, Nestor A.; Jenkins, Jesse D.; de Sisternes, Fernando J. Joule, Vol. 2, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2018.08.006	journal	November 2018
Transmission Capacity Expansion Is Needed to Decarbonize the Electricity Sector Efficiently Joskow, Paul L. Joule, Vol. 4, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2019.10.011	journal	January 2020
The Value of Inter-Regional Coordination and Transmission in Decarbonizing the US Electricity System Brown, Patrick R.; Botterud, Audun Joule, Vol. 5, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2020.11.013	journal	January 2021
Optimal expansion of an existing electrical power transmission network by multi-objective genetic algorithms Cadini, F.; Zio, E.; Petrescu, C. A. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Vol. 95, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2009.09.007	journal	March 2010
State-of-the-art of transmission expansion planning: Comprehensive review Hemmati, Reza; Hooshmand, Rahmat-Allah; Khodabakhshian, Amin Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 23 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.03.015	journal	July 2013
A comprehensive review on expansion planning: Models and tools for energy policy analysis Gacitua, L.; Gallegos, P.; Henriquez-Auba, R. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 98 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.08.043	journal	December 2018
Generation and Transmission Expansion Planning Based on Game Theory in Power Engineering Xiaotong, Li; Yimei, Li; Xiaoli, Zhu Systems Engineering Procedia, Vol. 4 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.052	journal	January 2012
Optimizing Your Options: Extracting the Full Economic Value of Transmission When Planning Under Uncertainty Munoz, Francisco D.; Watson, Jean-Paul; Hobbs, Benjamin F. The Electricity Journal, Vol. 28, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tej.2015.05.002	journal	June 2015
Dual Impacts of Space Heating Electrification and Climate Change Increase Uncertainties in Peak Load Behavior and Grid Capacity Requirements in Texas Ssembatya, Henry; Kern, Jordan D.; Oikonomou, Konstantinos Earth's Future, Vol. 12, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004443	journal	June 2024
Cost increase in the electricity supply to achieve carbon neutrality in China Zhuo, Zhenyu; Du, Ershun; Zhang, Ning Nature Communications, Vol. 13, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30747-0	journal	June 2022
Continental United States climate projections based on thermodynamic modification of historical weather Jones, Andrew D.; Rastogi, Deeksha; Vahmani, Pouya Scientific Data, Vol. 10, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02485-5	journal	September 2023
Harmonized geospatial data to support infrastructure siting feasibility planning for energy system transitions Vernon, Chris R.; Mongird, Kendall; Nelson, Kristian D. Scientific Data, Vol. 10, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02694-y	journal	November 2023
A mixed integer disjunctive model for transmission network expansion Bahiense, L.; Oliveira, G. C.; Pereira, M. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 16, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.1109/59.932295	journal	January 2001
Market-Based Transmission Expansion Planning Buygi, M. O.; Balzer, G.; Shanechi, H. M. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 19, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2004.836252	journal	November 2004
Transmission Expansion Planning Using Contingency Criteria Choi, Jaeseok; Mount, Timothy D.; Thomas, Robert J. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 22, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2007.908478	journal	November 2007
An Engineering-Economic Approach to Transmission Planning Under Market and Regulatory Uncertainties: WECC Case Study Munoz, Francisco D.; Hobbs, Benjamin F.; Ho, Jonathan L. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 29, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2013.2279654	journal	January 2014
Grid Structural Characteristics as Validation Criteria for Synthetic Networks Birchfield, Adam B.; Xu, Ti; Gegner, Kathleen M. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 32, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2616385	journal	July 2017
cerf: A Python package to evaluate the feasibility and costs of power plant siting for alternative futures Vernon, Chris; Rice, Jennie; Zuljevic, Nino Journal of Open Source Software, Vol. 6, Issue 65 https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.03601	journal	September 2021
tell: a Python package to model future total electricity loads in the United States McGrath, Casey R.; Burleyson, Casey D.; Khan, Zarrar Journal of Open Source Software, Vol. 7, Issue 79 https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.04472	journal	November 2022
Transmission transition: Modernizing U.S. transmission planning to support decarbonization Kasam-Griffith, Alisha; Turkmani, Natasha S.; Wolf, Martin J. MIT Science Policy Review, Vol. 1 https://doi.org/10.38105/spr.udjlliebw0	journal	August 2020
GCAM v5.1: representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems Calvin, Katherine; Patel, Pralit; Clarke, Leon Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-677-2019	journal	January 2019
GCAM-USA v5.3_water_dispatch: integrated modeling of subnational US energy, water, and land systems within a global framework Binsted, Matthew; Iyer, Gokul; Patel, Pralit Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 15, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-2533-2022	journal	March 2022
Integration of extreme weather event risk assessment into spatial planning of electric power infrastructure Matko, Maruša; Golobič, Mojca; Kontič, Branko Urbani izziv, Vol. 27, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.5379/urbani-izziv-en-2016-27-01-001	journal	June 2016

Similar Records

Cooperation in Transmission Expansion Planning: Enhancing Grid Reliability and Efficiency Under a Changing Climate

Dataset · Wed Oct 23 00:00:00 EDT 2024 · OSTI ID:2474831

Empirical Estimates of Transmission Value using Locational Marginal Prices [Slides]

Technical Report · Mon Aug 01 00:00:00 EDT 2022 · OSTI ID:1879833

Evaluating grid stress and reliability in future electricity grids across a range of demand, generation mix, and weather trends

Journal Article · Sat Oct 18 20:00:00 EDT 2025 · Advances in Applied Energy · OSTI ID:3000218

Related Subjects

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION
Cooperative transmission expansion planning
Electric grid reliability
Extreme weather events
Future power systems
Heat waves
Multisector dynamics

Investigating the effects of cooperative transmission expansion planning on grid performance during heat waves with varying spatial scales

Citation Formats

References (37)

Similar Records

Related Subjects