Skip to main content
U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Understanding local plant extinctions before it is too late: bridging evolutionary genomics with global ecology

Journal Article · · New Phytologist
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.18718· OSTI ID:2421871
 [1]
  1. Carnegie Inst. of Science, Stanford, CA (United States); Stanford Univ., CA (United States); OSTI
Understanding evolutionary genomic and population processes within a species range is key to anticipating the extinction of plant species before it is too late. However, most models of biodiversity risk under global change do not account for the genetic variation and local adaptation of different populations. Population diversity is critical to understanding extinction because different populations may be more or less susceptible to global change and, if lost, would reduce the total diversity within a species. Here, two new modeling frameworks advance our understanding of extinction from a population and evolutionary angle: Rapid climate change-driven disruptions in population adaptation are predicted from associations between genomes and local climates. Furthermore, losses of population diversity from global land-use transformations are estimated by scaling relationships of species' genomic diversity with habitat area. Overall, these global eco-evolutionary methods advance the predictability – and possibly the preventability – of the ongoing extinction of plant species.
Research Organization:
Illinois State University (ISU), Normal, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
National Institutes of Health (NIH); National Science Foundation (NSF); USDA; USDOE; USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0021286
OSTI ID:
2421871
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1926769
Journal Information:
New Phytologist, Journal Name: New Phytologist Journal Issue: 6 Vol. 237; ISSN 0028-646X
Publisher:
WileyCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (40)

Evolutionary genomics can improve prediction of species’ responses to climate change journal January 2020
Genetic diversity targets and indicators in the CBD post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework must be improved journal August 2020
1,135 Genomes Reveal the Global Pattern of Polymorphism in Arabidopsis thaliana journal July 2016
Opportunities and challenges in assessing climate change vulnerability through genomics journal March 2021
Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change journal May 2012
Pearl millet genomic vulnerability to climate change in West Africa highlights the need for regional collaboration journal October 2020
Life history, climate and biogeography interactively affect worldwide genetic diversity of plant and animal populations journal January 2021
Elevated extinction risk of cacti under climate change journal April 2022
Global habitat loss and extinction risk of terrestrial vertebrates under future land-use-change scenarios journal March 2019
Maladaptation, migration and extirpation fuel climate change risk in a forest tree species journal January 2021
Genomic basis and evolutionary potential for extreme drought adaptation in Arabidopsis thaliana journal December 2017
Global dataset shows geography and life form predict modern plant extinction and rediscovery journal June 2019
Opportunities and challenges of macrogenetic studies journal August 2021
Natural selection on the Arabidopsis thaliana genome in present and future climates journal August 2019
Genomic mechanisms of climate adaptation in polyploid bioenergy switchgrass journal January 2021
More losses than gains during one century of plant biodiversity change in Germany journal October 2022
Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe journal May 2005
Vertebrates on the brink as indicators of biological annihilation and the sixth mass extinction journal June 2020
The crucial role of genome-wide genetic variation in conservation journal November 2021
Understanding Maladaptation by Uniting Ecological and Evolutionary Perspectives journal October 2019
Geographic patterns of genomic diversity and structure in the C4 grass Panicum hallii across its natural distribution journal January 2021
Coding for Life: Designing a Platform for Projecting and Protecting Global Biodiversity journal October 2021
Genotype–environment associations to reveal the molecular basis of environmental adaptation journal August 2022
Experimental support for genomic prediction of climate maladaptation using the machine learning approach Gradient Forests journal March 2021
Exposure of mammal genetic diversity to mid‐21st century global change journal March 2021
Species distribution models rarely predict the biology of real populations journal December 2021
No consistent effects of humans on animal genetic diversity worldwide journal October 2019
Estimated six per cent loss of genetic variation in wild populations since the industrial revolution journal June 2019
Evaluating genomic data for management of local adaptation in a changing climate: A lodgepole pine case study journal September 2019
Prospects and limitations of genomic offset in conservation management journal March 2021
Adaptation across geographic ranges is consistent with strong selection in marginal climates and legacies of range expansion journal May 2021
Reduced representation sequencing to understand the evolutionary history of Torrey pine ( Pinus torreyana parry) with implications for rare species conservation journal July 2022
Using herbaria to study global environmental change journal August 2018
Natural selection and the predictability of evolution in Timema stick insects journal February 2018
Comment on “Genomic signals of selection predict climate-driven population declines in a migratory bird” journal August 2018
Direct observation of adaptive tracking on ecological time scales in Drosophila journal March 2022
Genetic diversity loss in the Anthropocene journal September 2022
What Do We Really Know About Adaptation at Range Edges? journal November 2020
Genomic Prediction of (Mal)Adaptation Across Current and Future Climatic Landscapes journal November 2020
Landscape genomic prediction for restoration of a Eucalyptus foundation species under climate change journal April 2018

Similar Records

Genetic diversity loss in the Anthropocene
Journal Article · Fri Sep 23 00:00:00 EDT 2022 · Science · OSTI ID:1980743

Opportunities to advance the synthesis of ecology and evolution
Journal Article · Wed Feb 01 19:00:00 EST 2023 · Ecology Letters · OSTI ID:2263424