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Modeling U.S. Light-Duty Demand for EV Charging Infrastructure in 2030

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/1992645· OSTI ID:1992645

With the support of DOE's Vehicle Technologies Office and the DOE/DOT Joint Office (JO), NREL has applied the EVI-X modeling suite to conduct a National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Needs Assessment. This report considers a 2030 scenario in which 50% of light-duty sales are electric (including plug-in hybrids), resulting in an on-road stock of 33 million vehicles. We consider the needs of vehicles used for typical daily driving, drivers without access to residential charging, corridor charging supporting long-distance travel, and ride-hailing electrification. We find that a cumulative capital investment of $82 billion in public and private charging infrastructure will be necessary in our baseline scenario (approximately 3x greater than our estimate of planned investments to date). This result is framed as a conservative estimate as the assumed costs include charging equipment and installation but exclude the cost of grid upgrades and distributed energy resources.

Research Organization:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Office of Sustainable Transportation. Joint Office of Energy & Transportation (JOET)
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
OSTI ID:
1992645
Report Number(s):
NREL/PR--5400-86980; MainId:87755; UUID:851ba027-44fa-4245-a2b9-422d8dbb848d; MainAdminID:70012
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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