The 2030 National Charging Network: Estimating U.S. Light-Duty Demand for Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure

Technical Report · Mon Jun 26 04:00:00 EDT 2023

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/1988020· OSTI ID:1988020

Wood, Eric ^[1]; Borlaug, Brennan ^[1]; Moniot, Matt ^[1]; Lee, Dong-Yeon (D-Y) ^[1]; Ge, Yanbo ^[1]; Yang, Fan ^[1]; Liu, Zhaocai ^[1]

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1. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)

With the support of DOE's Vehicle Technologies Office and the DOE/DOT Joint Office (JO), NREL has applied the EVI-X modeling suite to conduct a National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Needs Assessment. This report considers a 2030 scenario in which 50% of light-duty sales are electric (including plug-in hybrids), resulting in an on-road stock of 33 million vehicles. We consider the needs of vehicles used for typical daily driving, drivers without access to residential charging, corridor charging supporting long-distance travel, and ride-hailing electrification. We find that a cumulative capital investment of $82 billion in public and private charging infrastructure will be necessary in our baseline scenario (approximately 3x greater than our estimate of planned investments to date). This result is framed as a conservative estimate as the assumed costs include charging equipment and installation but exclude the cost of grid upgrades and distributed energy resources.

• Research Organization: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT); USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Office of Sustainable Transportation. Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO)
• DOE Contract Number: AC36-08GO28308; AC36-08GO28308
• OSTI ID: 1988020
• Report Number(s): NREL/TP--5400-85654; MainId:86427; UUID:711a71e7-d587-497f-9e20-cda4858916bb; MainAdminID:69694
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS
Alternative Fuel Corridor
Charging Infrastructure
Electric Vehicle
Fast Charging
Ride-Hailing