Little room for new fossil fuel development if global temperatures are to stay below 1.5°C

McCollum, David L.; Al Khourdajie, Alaa

doi:10.1016/j.joule.2021.10.003

Little room for new fossil fuel development if global temperatures are to stay below 1.5°C

Journal Article · Wed Oct 20 04:00:00 EDT 2021 · Joule

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2021.10.003· OSTI ID:1885253

^[1]; Al Khourdajie, Alaa ^[2]

Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (United States)
Imperial College, London (United Kingdom)

Here, we discuss a new paper in Nature by Welsby et al., which makes clear that pursuing efforts to limit global average temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels—the most frequently stated goal of the 2015 Paris Agreement—implies the vast majority of coal, crude oil, and natural gas must remain underground and undeveloped.

Research Organization:: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE; Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-00OR22725

OSTI ID:: 1885253

Journal Information:: Joule, Journal Name: Joule Journal Issue: 10 Vol. 5; ISSN 2542-4351

Publisher:: Elsevier - Cell PressCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

References (6)

Net-zero emissions targets are vague: three ways to fix Rogelj, Joeri; Geden, Oliver; Cowie, Annette Nature, Vol. 591, Issue 7850 https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00662-3	journal	March 2021
The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C McGlade, Christophe; Ekins, Paul Nature, Vol. 517, Issue 7533 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14016	journal	January 2015
Wave of net zero emission targets opens window to meeting the Paris Agreement Höhne, Niklas; Gidden, Matthew J.; den Elzen, Michel Nature Climate Change, Vol. 11, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01142-2	journal	September 2021
Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world Welsby, Dan; Price, James; Pye, Steve Nature, Vol. 597, Issue 7875 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03821-8	journal	September 2021
Committed emissions from existing and planned power plants and asset stranding required to meet the Paris Agreement Pfeiffer, Alexander; Hepburn, Cameron; Vogt-Schilb, Adrien Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabc5f	journal	May 2018
Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals Bertram, Christoph; Riahi, Keywan; Hilaire, Jérôme Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 16, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac09ae	journal	June 2021

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Little room for new fossil fuel development if global temperatures are to stay below 1.5°C

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