The use of soil moisture and Standardized Evaporative Stress Ratio (SESR) anomalies for increased lead time of the development flash drought and heat waves
- Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, MA (United States)
- Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK (United States)
- Wake Forest Univ., Winston-Salem, NC (United States)
Drought and rapid intensification of drought (i.e., flash drought) can have significant impacts on the natural environment and the economy, particularly when coupled with a period(s) of extreme heat (Otkin et al., 2018). The development and/or intensification of drought falls squarely in the sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) time frame, which dictates that drought development, intensification, and propagation could be an output of a subseasonal or seasonal forecast. Current S2S forecasts have poor skill for forecasting the development of extreme drought and heat waves.
- Research Organization:
- Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, MA (United States); Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK (United States); Wake Forest Univ., Winston-Salem, NC (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
- OSTI ID:
- 1769783
- Report Number(s):
- AI4ESP1064
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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