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Community Modeling and Long-Term Predictions of the Integrated Water Cycle. Report from the September 2012 Workshop

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/1471578· OSTI ID:1471578

Water is a key component of the earth and human systems due to its strong interactions with the energy cycle and its vital roles in the energy-water-land system. Uncertainties in predicting the integrated water cycle can limit our abilities to address the energy and environmental challenges today and in the future. Modeling the integrated water cycle contributes to the Department of Energy’s (DOE) core competencies in integrative modeling, drawing from unique and highly relevant research on cloud, aerosol, terrestrial ecosystem, carbon cycle, and subsurface processes, as well as climate and earth system modeling and integrated assessment modeling. Synthesizing new process knowledge and innovative computational methods in integrated models of the human-earth system can advance predictive capabilities relevant to DOE missions.

This report describes the DOE workshop on Community Modeling and Long-Term Predictions of the Integrated Water Cycle, held September 2012 in Washington DC. The workshop serves as a launching point and major organizing event to identify challenges and plan the development of next-generation human-earth system models for improving long-term predictions of the regional-scale integrated water cycle. More specifically, the workshop aims to:

identify core modeling capabilities while identifying key research gaps, with an emphasis on improving model fidelity; reveal relevant and critical capabilities and needs for observations, analytical frameworks, and data management that underpin the development, testing, and validation of our main models and model components; engage the research community in strategies for improving synthesis and integration; elucidate opportunities for collaborations within DOE and with other agencies and institutions that have complementary and essential expertise in specific aspects of the water cycle; and improve understanding of the nature and characteristics of long-term scientific information requirements for DOE’s energy and environmental missions and, as appropriate, for mission needs of other partner agencies.

The workshop benefited from substantial inputs provided by the broad scientific community and interagency participation. The topical and crosscutting research challenges identified at the workshop have been synthesized into three overarching Science Grand Challenges and three Integrative Modeling Experiments summarized in this report. These challenges represent remarkable opportunities for interagency collaborations to improve predictions of the integrated water cycle for significant scientific and user impacts.

Research Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Washington, D.C. (United States). Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)
OSTI ID:
1471578
Report Number(s):
DOE/SC--0155
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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