Science-Based Simulation Model of Human Performance for Human Reliability Analysis
Human reliability analysis (HRA), a component of an integrated probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), is the means by which the human contribution to risk is assessed, both qualitatively and quantitatively. However, among the literally dozens of HRA methods that have been developed, most cannot fully model and quantify the types of errors that occurred at Three Mile Island. Furthermore, all of the methods lack a solid empirical basis, relying heavily on expert judgment or empirical results derived in non-reactor domains. Finally, all of the methods are essentially static, and are thus unable to capture the dynamics of an accident in progress. The objective of this work is to begin exploring a dynamic simulation approach to HRA, one whose models have a basis in psychological theories of human performance, and whose quantitative estimates have an empirical basis. This paper highlights a plan to formalize collaboration among the Idaho National Laboratory (INL), the University of Maryland, and The Ohio State University (OSU) to continue development of a simulation model initially formulated at the University of Maryland. Initial work will focus on enhancing the underlying human performance models with the most recent psychological research, and on planning follow-on studies to establish an empirical basis for the model, based on simulator experiments to be carried out at the INL and at the OSU.
- Research Organization:
- Idaho National Lab. (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- DE-AC07-05ID14517
- OSTI ID:
- 1031703
- Report Number(s):
- INL/CON-11-23194; TRN: US1200155
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: Enlarged Halden Program Group (EHPG) Meeting,Sandefjord, Norway,10/02/2011,10/04/2011
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
97 MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND COMPUTING
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS
ACCIDENTS
INEEL
PERFORMANCE
PLANNING
RELIABILITY
RISK ASSESSMENT
SIMULATION
SIMULATORS
human performance modeling
human reliability analysis
RELAP
simulator study