Is probability of frequency too narrow?
Conference
·
OSTI ID:10102501
Modern methods of statistical data analysis, such as empirical and hierarchical Bayesian methods, should find increasing use in future Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) applications. In addition, there will be a more formalized use of expert judgment in future PRAs. These methods require an extension of the probabilistic framework of PRA, in particular, the popular notion of probability of frequency, to consideration of frequency of frequency, frequency of probability, and probability of probability. The genesis, interpretation, and examples of these three extended notions are discussed.
- Research Organization:
- Los Alamos National Lab., NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC (United States)
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-36
- OSTI ID:
- 10102501
- Report Number(s):
- LA-UR--93-3461; CONF-940312--12; ON: DE94000687
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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