Stakeholder-driven carbon neutral pathways for Thailand and Bangkok: integrated assessment modeling to inform multilevel climate governance
Abstract
Thailand has established a target of carbon neutrality by 2050. Reaching this goal will require coordination and collaboration between stakeholders spanning sectors and scales, including energy system decision makers, land managers, and city planners. Robust decarbonization scenarios incorporating current plans and targets, additional measures needed, and trade-offs between strategies can help stakeholders make informed decisions in the face of uncertainty. Through iterative engagement with decision makers at the city and national levels, we develop and analyze carbon neutral scenarios for Thailand that incorporate Bangkok’s role using a global integrated assessment model. We find that Thailand can reach carbon neutrality through power sector decarbonization, energy efficiency improvements, widespread electrification, and advanced technologies including carbon capture and storage and hydrogen. Negative emissions technologies will also be needed to offset Thailand and Bangkok’s hardest-to-abate CO2 emissions. Bangkok, as a major population and economic center, contributes significantly to Thailand’s energy demand and emissions and can therefore play an important role in climate change mitigation. Accordingly, our results underscore the importance of subnational climate action in meeting Thailand’s carbon neutral goal. Our analysis also indicates that without sustained land-based carbon sequestration, much more mitigation effort will be needed in Thailand’s energy sector, including at themore »
- Authors:
-
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Thammasat University, Klong Nueng (Thailand)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); University of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC); U.S.-ASEAN Smart Cities Partnership
- OSTI Identifier:
- 2299512
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-192420
Journal ID: ISSN 2296-598X
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Frontiers in Energy Research
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 12; Journal ID: ISSN 2296-598X
- Publisher:
- Frontiers Research Foundation
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY; decarbonization; cities; Thailand; Bangkok; stakeholder
Citation Formats
Waite, Taryn, Pradhan, Bijay Bahadur, Winyuchakrit, Pornphimol, Khan, Zarrar, Weber, Maridee, Pressburger, Leeya, Chaichaloempreecha, Achiraya, Rajbhandari, Salony, Pita, Piti, Westphal, Michael I., Jonvisait, Abdullah, Jareemit, Daranee, Limmeechokchai, Bundit, and Evans, Meredydd. Stakeholder-driven carbon neutral pathways for Thailand and Bangkok: integrated assessment modeling to inform multilevel climate governance. United States: N. p., 2024.
Web. doi:10.3389/fenrg.2024.1335290.
Waite, Taryn, Pradhan, Bijay Bahadur, Winyuchakrit, Pornphimol, Khan, Zarrar, Weber, Maridee, Pressburger, Leeya, Chaichaloempreecha, Achiraya, Rajbhandari, Salony, Pita, Piti, Westphal, Michael I., Jonvisait, Abdullah, Jareemit, Daranee, Limmeechokchai, Bundit, & Evans, Meredydd. Stakeholder-driven carbon neutral pathways for Thailand and Bangkok: integrated assessment modeling to inform multilevel climate governance. United States. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1335290
Waite, Taryn, Pradhan, Bijay Bahadur, Winyuchakrit, Pornphimol, Khan, Zarrar, Weber, Maridee, Pressburger, Leeya, Chaichaloempreecha, Achiraya, Rajbhandari, Salony, Pita, Piti, Westphal, Michael I., Jonvisait, Abdullah, Jareemit, Daranee, Limmeechokchai, Bundit, and Evans, Meredydd. Fri .
"Stakeholder-driven carbon neutral pathways for Thailand and Bangkok: integrated assessment modeling to inform multilevel climate governance". United States. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1335290. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/2299512.
@article{osti_2299512,
title = {Stakeholder-driven carbon neutral pathways for Thailand and Bangkok: integrated assessment modeling to inform multilevel climate governance},
author = {Waite, Taryn and Pradhan, Bijay Bahadur and Winyuchakrit, Pornphimol and Khan, Zarrar and Weber, Maridee and Pressburger, Leeya and Chaichaloempreecha, Achiraya and Rajbhandari, Salony and Pita, Piti and Westphal, Michael I. and Jonvisait, Abdullah and Jareemit, Daranee and Limmeechokchai, Bundit and Evans, Meredydd},
abstractNote = {Thailand has established a target of carbon neutrality by 2050. Reaching this goal will require coordination and collaboration between stakeholders spanning sectors and scales, including energy system decision makers, land managers, and city planners. Robust decarbonization scenarios incorporating current plans and targets, additional measures needed, and trade-offs between strategies can help stakeholders make informed decisions in the face of uncertainty. Through iterative engagement with decision makers at the city and national levels, we develop and analyze carbon neutral scenarios for Thailand that incorporate Bangkok’s role using a global integrated assessment model. We find that Thailand can reach carbon neutrality through power sector decarbonization, energy efficiency improvements, widespread electrification, and advanced technologies including carbon capture and storage and hydrogen. Negative emissions technologies will also be needed to offset Thailand and Bangkok’s hardest-to-abate CO2 emissions. Bangkok, as a major population and economic center, contributes significantly to Thailand’s energy demand and emissions and can therefore play an important role in climate change mitigation. Accordingly, our results underscore the importance of subnational climate action in meeting Thailand’s carbon neutral goal. Our analysis also indicates that without sustained land-based carbon sequestration, much more mitigation effort will be needed in Thailand’s energy sector, including at the subnational scale, to reach carbon neutrality. These insights can help stakeholders identify priorities, consider tradeoffs, and make decisions that will impact Bangkok and Thailand’s long-term climate change mitigation potential. This analysis demonstrates how stakeholder engagement in integrated assessment modeling can facilitate and inform multilevel climate governance.},
doi = {10.3389/fenrg.2024.1335290},
journal = {Frontiers in Energy Research},
number = ,
volume = 12,
place = {United States},
year = {Fri Feb 09 00:00:00 EST 2024},
month = {Fri Feb 09 00:00:00 EST 2024}
}
Works referenced in this record:
Decarbonization action plans using hybrid modeling for a low-carbon society: The case of Bangkok Metropolitan Area
journal, December 2017
- Ali, Ghaffar; Pumijumnong, Nathsuda; Cui, Shenghui
- Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 168
GCAM v5.1: representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems
journal, January 2019
- Calvin, Katherine; Patel, Pralit; Clarke, Leon
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 2
Thailand’s mid-century greenhouse gas emission pathways to achieve the 2 degrees Celsius target
journal, May 2022
- Chaichaloempreecha, Achiraya; Chunark, Puttipong; Hanaoka, Tatsuya
- Energy, Sustainability and Society, Vol. 12, Issue 1
Benefits of Demand Response with Electric Vehicles in Smart Grid: A Case Study of Pattaya City, Thailand
conference, February 2023
- Chanraksa, Tanit; Singh, Jai Govind
- 2023 International Conference on Power, Instrumentation, Energy and Control (PIECON)
A Demand Response Implementation with Building Energy Management System
journal, February 2022
- Charoen, Prasertsak; Kitbutrawat, Nathavuth; Kudtongngam, Jasada
- Energies, Vol. 15, Issue 3
Shared socioeconomic pathways and long-term GHG mitigation towards 2050 in Thailand cement industry
journal, June 2021
- Chunark, Puttipong; Hanaoka, Tatsuya; Limmeechokchai, Bundit
- Cleaner and Responsible Consumption, Vol. 2
Overcoming the challenges of integrating variable renewable energy to the grid: A comprehensive review of electrochemical battery storage systems
journal, October 2023
- Deguenon, Lere; Yamegueu, Daniel; Moussa kadri, Sani
- Journal of Power Sources, Vol. 580
The role of cities in multi-level climate governance: local climate policies and the 1.5 °C target
journal, February 2018
- Fuhr, Harald; Hickmann, Thomas; Kern, Kristine
- Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Vol. 30
Global urban climate governance in three and a half parts: Experimentation, coordination, integration (and contestation)
journal, July 2018
- Gordon, David J.
- WIREs Climate Change, Vol. 9, Issue 6
Natural climate solutions
journal, October 2017
- Griscom, Bronson W.; Adams, Justin; Ellis, Peter W.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 114, Issue 44
Urbanization and the Consumption of Fossil Energy Sources in the Emerging Southeast Asian Countries
journal, March 2021
- Ho, Chi Minh; Nguyen, Luong Tan; Vo, Anh The
- Environment and Urbanization ASIA, Vol. 12, Issue 1
Cities and greenhouse gas reduction: Policy makers or policy takers?
journal, November 2019
- Jaccard, Mark; Murphy, Rose; Zuehlke, Brett
- Energy Policy, Vol. 134
Stakeholder engagement and decarbonization pathways: Meeting the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic
journal, January 2023
- Jäger, Jill; Brutschin, Elina; Pianta, Silvia
- Frontiers in Sustainability, Vol. 3
Interval pricing scheme of demand response to maximize benefits of utility and participants under a vertically integrated electric industry of Thailand
conference, October 2017
- Junlakarn, Siripha; Hoonchareon, Naebboon; Keskamol, Kollawat
- 2017 Asian Conference on Energy, Power and Transportation Electrification (ACEPT)
Decarbonizing Thailand’s Economy: A Proposal
journal, December 2022
- Lau, Hon Chung
- Energies, Vol. 15, Issue 24
Dynamic quantification of on-road emissions in Hong Kong: Impact from traffic congestion and fleet composition variation
journal, November 2023
- Li, Xin; Gu, Dasa; Hohenberger, Tilman Leo
- Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 313
Scaling up climate ambition post-2030: a long-term GHG mitigation analysis for Thailand
journal, September 2022
- Limmeechokchai, Bundit; Rajbhandari, Salony; Pradhan, Bijay B.
- Climate Policy, Vol. 23, Issue 2
Probabilistic feasibility assessment of sequestration reliance for climate targets
journal, June 2023
- Matamala, Yolanda; Flores, Francisco; Arriet, Andrea
- Energy, Vol. 272
Trends in urbanization and patterns of land use in the Asian mega cities Jakarta, Bangkok, and Metro Manila
journal, February 2005
- Murakami, Akinobu; Medrial Zain, Alinda; Takeuchi, Kazuhiko
- Landscape and Urban Planning, Vol. 70, Issue 3-4
Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
journal, November 2020
- O’Neill, Brian C.; Carter, Timothy R.; Ebi, Kristie
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 10, Issue 12
Thailand Energy Scenarios: Pathways towards Carbon Neutrality 2050
journal, January 2023
- Pongthanaisawan, Jakapong; Wangjiraniran, Weerin; Nakapreecha, Nitida
- International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Vol. 13, Issue 1
Energy system transformation for attainability of net zero emissions in Thailand
journal, September 2022
- Limmeechokchai, Bundit; Bahadur Pradhan, Bijay; Chunark, Puttipong
- International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management, Vol. 35
GHG mitigation in Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector in Thailand
journal, April 2019
- Pradhan, Bijay Bahadur; Chaichaloempreecha, Achiraya; Limmeechokchai, Bundit
- Carbon Balance and Management, Vol. 14, Issue 1
Challenges for the Adoption of Electric Vehicles in Thailand: Potential Impacts, Barriers, and Public Policy Recommendations
journal, June 2023
- Preedakorn, Kantapich; Butler, David; Mehnen, Jörn
- Sustainability, Vol. 15, Issue 12
CO2 mitigation potential and marginal abatement costs in Thai residential and building sectors
journal, September 2014
- Promjiraprawat, Kamphol; Winyuchakrit, Pornphimol; Limmeechokchai, Bundit
- Energy and Buildings, Vol. 80
Road freight transportation business operator’s perception toward electric vehicle adoption in Nakhon Pathom, Thailand
journal, January 2023
- Sattayathamrongthian, Mahachai; Vanpetch, Yingsak
- E3S Web of Conferences, Vol. 389
Estimation of the PV potential in ASEAN with a high spatial and temporal resolution
journal, April 2016
- Siala, Kais; Stich, Jürgen
- Renewable Energy, Vol. 88
The current situation on CO2 emissions from the steel industry in Thailand and mitigation options
journal, January 2012
- Sodsai, Promtida; Rachdawong, Pichaya
- International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Vol. 6
Optimal Sizing of BESS Considering Economic Dispatch and VRE in Thailand Generation System
conference, June 2022
- Yimprapai, Audchara; Chaitusaney, Surachai
- 2022 IEEE International Conference on Cybernetics and Computational Intelligence (CyberneticsCom)
Decarbonizing the energy and industry sectors in Thailand by carbon capture and storage
journal, February 2022
- Zhang, Kai; Bokka, Harsha Kumar; Lau, Hon Chung
- Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, Vol. 209