DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

This content will become publicly available on Sat Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 2024

Title: Divergent urbanization-induced impacts on global surface urban heat island trends since 1980s

Abstract

Urbanization experiences different speeds and forms under diverse development stages across the globe. However, urbanization-induced impacts on long-term surface urban heat island intensity (Is) trends across global cities and the regulators of such impacts remain understudied. Here we estimate interannual trends in daytime Is (i.e., urban-rural differences in surface temperatures) across 511 major cities for 1985 –2020 using annual averages calculated by using reconstructed land surface temperature data derived from more than >250,000 Landsat thermal images. Our study reveals that the global mean Is growth rate is 0.156 °C/decade. We further examine Is change associated with per 1% impervious land growth (denoted as ß) in each city throughout the research period and during different periods. The global mean ß is 0.018 ± 0.025 °C/% (mean ± 1 standard deviation) for the whole period, with greater values in humid than in arid climates; and the ß may change during different periods, e.g., it has more than tripled when urban impervious land exceeds 30%, indicating the spatiotemporally divergent impacts of urbanization on Is trends across global cities. The spatial variations in ß across global cities are well correlated with rural vegetation abundance and precipitation but not with urban population. Among these threemore » factors, rural vegetation abundance possesses the greatest standardized regression coefficient of partial least-squares model, signifying the critical role of biome background in regulating ß. Furthermore, the finding implies that future urbanization over densely vegetated regions should be more carefully and strategically planned due to the greater urbanization-induced surface warming effect.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [1];  [7];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Nanjing University, Jiangsu (China)
  2. Nanjing University, Jiangsu (China); Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application (China)
  3. University of Alabama in Huntsville, AL (United States)
  4. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
  5. Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ (United States)
  6. Harrisburg University of Science and Technology, PA (United States)
  7. Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong (China)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
OSTI Identifier:
1998055
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-185887
Journal ID: ISSN 0034-4257
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Remote Sensing of Environment
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 295; Journal ID: ISSN 0034-4257
Publisher:
Elsevier
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Surface urban heat island; Thermal remote sensing; Land surface temperature; Data reconstruction; Landsat data

Citation Formats

Li, Long, Zhan, Wenfeng, Hu, Leiqiu, Chakraborty, Tirthankar, Wang, Zhihua, Fu, Peng, Wang, Dazhong, Liao, Weilin, Huang, Fan, Fu, Huyan, Li, Jiufeng, Liu, Zihan, Du, Huilin, and Wang, Shasha. Divergent urbanization-induced impacts on global surface urban heat island trends since 1980s. United States: N. p., 2023. Web. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2023.113650.
Li, Long, Zhan, Wenfeng, Hu, Leiqiu, Chakraborty, Tirthankar, Wang, Zhihua, Fu, Peng, Wang, Dazhong, Liao, Weilin, Huang, Fan, Fu, Huyan, Li, Jiufeng, Liu, Zihan, Du, Huilin, & Wang, Shasha. Divergent urbanization-induced impacts on global surface urban heat island trends since 1980s. United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2023.113650
Li, Long, Zhan, Wenfeng, Hu, Leiqiu, Chakraborty, Tirthankar, Wang, Zhihua, Fu, Peng, Wang, Dazhong, Liao, Weilin, Huang, Fan, Fu, Huyan, Li, Jiufeng, Liu, Zihan, Du, Huilin, and Wang, Shasha. Thu . "Divergent urbanization-induced impacts on global surface urban heat island trends since 1980s". United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2023.113650.
@article{osti_1998055,
title = {Divergent urbanization-induced impacts on global surface urban heat island trends since 1980s},
author = {Li, Long and Zhan, Wenfeng and Hu, Leiqiu and Chakraborty, Tirthankar and Wang, Zhihua and Fu, Peng and Wang, Dazhong and Liao, Weilin and Huang, Fan and Fu, Huyan and Li, Jiufeng and Liu, Zihan and Du, Huilin and Wang, Shasha},
abstractNote = {Urbanization experiences different speeds and forms under diverse development stages across the globe. However, urbanization-induced impacts on long-term surface urban heat island intensity (Is) trends across global cities and the regulators of such impacts remain understudied. Here we estimate interannual trends in daytime Is (i.e., urban-rural differences in surface temperatures) across 511 major cities for 1985 –2020 using annual averages calculated by using reconstructed land surface temperature data derived from more than >250,000 Landsat thermal images. Our study reveals that the global mean Is growth rate is 0.156 °C/decade. We further examine Is change associated with per 1% impervious land growth (denoted as ß) in each city throughout the research period and during different periods. The global mean ß is 0.018 ± 0.025 °C/% (mean ± 1 standard deviation) for the whole period, with greater values in humid than in arid climates; and the ß may change during different periods, e.g., it has more than tripled when urban impervious land exceeds 30%, indicating the spatiotemporally divergent impacts of urbanization on Is trends across global cities. The spatial variations in ß across global cities are well correlated with rural vegetation abundance and precipitation but not with urban population. Among these three factors, rural vegetation abundance possesses the greatest standardized regression coefficient of partial least-squares model, signifying the critical role of biome background in regulating ß. Furthermore, the finding implies that future urbanization over densely vegetated regions should be more carefully and strategically planned due to the greater urbanization-induced surface warming effect.},
doi = {10.1016/j.rse.2023.113650},
journal = {Remote Sensing of Environment},
number = ,
volume = 295,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 2023},
month = {Thu Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 2023}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
This content will become publicly available on June 1, 2024
Publisher's Version of Record

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

On the land emissivity assumption and Landsat-derived surface urban heat islands: A global analysis
journal, November 2021


Time series decomposition of remotely sensed land surface temperature and investigation of trends and seasonal variations in surface urban heat islands
journal, March 2016

  • Quan, Jinling; Zhan, Wenfeng; Chen, Yunhao
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 121, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1002/2015JD024354

Temporal upscaling of surface urban heat island by incorporating an annual temperature cycle model: A tale of two cities
journal, December 2016


Urban heat island: Aerodynamics or imperviousness?
journal, April 2019


Stronger Contributions of Urbanization to Heat Wave Trends in Wet Climates
journal, October 2018

  • Liao, Weilin; Liu, Xiaoping; Li, Dan
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 20
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018GL079679

Satellite Remote Sensing of Surface Urban Heat Islands: Progress, Challenges, and Perspectives
journal, December 2018

  • Zhou, Decheng; Xiao, Jingfeng; Bonafoni, Stefania
  • Remote Sensing, Vol. 11, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.3390/rs11010048

Annual maps of global artificial impervious area (GAIA) between 1985 and 2018
journal, January 2020


Characterizing the relationship between land use land cover change and land surface temperature
journal, February 2017


Interactions between urban heat islands and heat waves
journal, February 2018

  • Zhao, Lei; Oppenheimer, Michael; Zhu, Qing
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9f73

Mapping global urban boundaries from the global artificial impervious area (GAIA) data
journal, August 2020


Opportunities and Challenges of Spaceborne Sensors in Delineating Land Surface Temperature Trends: A Review
journal, April 2023


Surface Urban Heat Island Across 419 Global Big Cities
journal, December 2011

  • Peng, Shushi; Piao, Shilong; Ciais, Philippe
  • Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 46, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1021/es2030438

Using Prophet Forecasting Model to Characterize the Temporal Variations of Historical and Future Surface Urban Heat Island in China
journal, December 2020

  • Li, Long; Zha, Yong; Zhang, Jiahua
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 125, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019JD031968

The effect of urbanization on the intensification of SUHIs: Analysis by LULC on Karachi
journal, October 2020

  • Rizvi, Shahnillah Haider; Fatima, Hira; Iqbal, Muhammad Jawed
  • Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Vol. 207
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105374

Greening in Rural Areas Increases the Surface Urban Heat Island Intensity
journal, February 2019

  • Yao, Rui; Wang, Lunche; Huang, Xin
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081816

Interannual variations in surface urban heat island intensity and associated drivers in China
journal, September 2018


Remote sensing of the urban heat island effect across biomes in the continental USA
journal, March 2010

  • Imhoff, Marc L.; Zhang, Ping; Wolfe, Robert E.
  • Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol. 114, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2009.10.008

Google Earth Engine Open-Source Code for Land Surface Temperature Estimation from the Landsat Series
journal, May 2020

  • Ermida, Sofia L.; Soares, Patrícia; Mantas, Vasco
  • Remote Sensing, Vol. 12, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.3390/rs12091471

Forecasting at Scale
journal, January 2018


New refinements and validation of the MODIS Land-Surface Temperature/Emissivity products
journal, January 2008


Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate
journal, May 2003


World Map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated [World Map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated]
journal, July 2006


Investigating and predicting Land Surface Temperature (LST) based on remotely sensed data during 1987–2030 (A case study of Reykjavik city, Iceland)
journal, March 2023

  • Mansourmoghaddam, Mohammad; Rousta, Iman; Zamani, Mohammadsadegh
  • Urban Ecosystems, Vol. 26, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1007/s11252-023-01337-9

High-spatiotemporal-resolution mapping of global urban change from 1985 to 2015
journal, May 2020


Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China
journal, October 2014

  • Sun, Ying; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W.
  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2410

The Collinearity Problem in Linear Regression. The Partial Least Squares (PLS) Approach to Generalized Inverses
journal, September 1984

  • Wold, S.; Ruhe, A.; Wold, H.
  • SIAM Journal on Scientific and Statistical Computing, Vol. 5, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1137/0905052

Reconciling Debates on the Controls on Surface Urban Heat Island Intensity: Effects of Scale and Sampling
journal, October 2021

  • Lai, Jiameng; Zhan, Wenfeng; Quan, Jinling
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 48, Issue 19
  • DOI: 10.1029/2021GL094485

Magnitude of urban heat islands largely explained by climate and population
journal, September 2019


Surface urban heat island intensity in five major cities of Bangladesh: Patterns, drivers and trends
journal, August 2021


Strong contributions of local background climate to urban heat islands
journal, July 2014

  • Zhao, Lei; Lee, Xuhui; Smith, Ronald B.
  • Nature, Vol. 511, Issue 7508
  • DOI: 10.1038/nature13462

Utilising green and bluespace to mitigate urban heat island intensity
journal, April 2017


Quantifying the response of surface urban heat island to urbanization using the annual temperature cycle model
journal, January 2022


Relationship between variability in aboveground net primary production and precipitation in global grasslands
journal, January 2008

  • Yang, Yuanhe; Fang, Jingyun; Ma, Wenhong
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 35, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1029/2008GL035408

Contribution of urbanization to the increase of extreme heat events in an urban agglomeration in east China: Urbanization and the Increase of EHEs
journal, July 2017

  • Yang, Xuchao; Ruby Leung, L.; Zhao, Naizhuo
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 44, Issue 13
  • DOI: 10.1002/2017GL074084

Spatiotemporal pattern and long-term trend of global surface urban heat islands characterized by dynamic urban-extent method and MODIS data
journal, January 2022


Long‐Term and Fine‐Scale Surface Urban Heat Island Dynamics Revealed by Landsat Data Since the 1980s: A Comparison of Four Megacities in China
journal, March 2022

  • Li, Long; Zhan, Wenfeng; Du, Huilin
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 127, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1029/2021JD035598

Impact of spatial resolution and satellite overpass time on evaluation of the surface urban heat island effects
journal, February 2012


Surface urban heat island in China's 32 major cities: Spatial patterns and drivers
journal, September 2014


Projections of Human Exposure to Dangerous Heat in African Cities Under Multiple Socioeconomic and Climate Scenarios
journal, May 2019

  • Rohat, Guillaume; Flacke, Johannes; Dosio, Alessandro
  • Earth's Future, Vol. 7, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018EF001020

3σ-Rule for Outlier Detection from the Viewpoint of Geodetic Adjustment
journal, November 2013