DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Demand-side solutions in the US building sector could achieve deep emissions reductions and avoid over $100 billion in power sector costs

Journal Article · · One Earth

Buildings are energy-intensive and a primary source of US end-use sector carbon emissions. Although building emissions today are 25% below their 2005 peak, far deeper reductions are needed to reach the US 2050 net-zero emissions goal. However, plausible decarbonization pathways that consider both buildings and their interactions with the power grid remain poorly understood. Here, we couple detailed modeling of building energy use and the grid to quantify building decarbonization potential and associated grid impacts. We find up to a 91% reduction in building CO2 emissions from 2005 levels by 2050 using a portfolio of building efficiency, demand flexibility, and electrification measures alongside rapid grid decarbonization. Building efficiency and flexibility could generate up to $107 billion in annual power system cost savings by 2050, offsetting over a third of the incremental cost of full grid decarbonization. Our results underscore multiple benefits of demand-side solutions for deep decarbonization of US buildings.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Energy Efficiency Office. Building Technologies Office
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1996968
Journal Information:
One Earth, Journal Name: One Earth Journal Issue: 8 Vol. 6; ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher:
Cell PressCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (25)

The potential contribution of disruptive low-carbon innovations to 1.5 °C climate mitigation journal May 2018
Potential Impacts of Transportation and Building Electrification on the Grid: A Review of Electrification Projections and Their Effects on Grid Infrastructure, Operation, and Planning journal November 2019
Quantifying the impact of residential space heating electrification on the Texas electric grid journal September 2021
Regional variation of greenhouse gas mitigation strategies for the United States building sector journal November 2021
Grid flexibility and storage required to achieve very high penetration of variable renewable electricity journal March 2011
Greenhouse gas emission forecasts for electrification of space heating in residential homes in the US journal April 2022
Reinventing energy efficiency for net zero journal August 2022
Distribution grid impacts of electric vehicles: A California case study journal January 2022
Assessing the Potential to Reduce U.S. Building CO2 Emissions 80% by 2050 journal October 2019
Quantifying the challenge of reaching a 100% renewable energy power system for the United States journal July 2021
US building energy efficiency and flexibility as an electric grid resource journal August 2021
Is heating homes with hydrogen all but a pipe dream? An evidence review journal October 2022
Reducing energy demand: A review of issues, challenges and approaches journal July 2015
Developing a common approach for classifying building stock energy models journal November 2020
Carbon‐Neutral Pathways for the United States journal January 2021
Betting on negative emissions journal September 2014
Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C journal May 2015
Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change journal April 2018
Decarbonization pathways for the residential sector in the United States journal August 2022
A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies journal June 2018
The carbon footprint of household energy use in the United States journal July 2020
Common but differentiated leadership: strategies and challenges for carbon neutrality by 2050 across industrialized economies journal October 2020
Net-zero emissions energy systems journal June 2018
Actions for reducing US emissions at least 50% by 2030 journal May 2022
Carbon Lock-In: Types, Causes, and Policy Implications journal November 2016