A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO2 enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow

You, Junyu; Ampomah, William; Morgan, Anthony; Sun, Qian; Huang, Xiaoliang

doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2021.103480

Title: A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO₂ enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow

Abstract

Carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO₂-EOR) projects not only extract residual oil but also sequestrate CO₂ in the depleted reservoirs. Here, this study develops a machine-learning-based workflow to co-optimize the hydrocarbon recovery, CO₂ sequestration volume and project net present value (NPV) simultaneously. Considering the trade-off relationships among the objective functions, support vector regression with Gaussian kernel (Gaussian- SVR) proxies are coupled with multi-objective particle swarm optimization (PSO) protocol and generate Pareto optimal solutions. Taking advantage of the high computational efficacy of the proxy model, economic uncertainties introduced by tax credits, capital costs and oil price are investigated by this study. The results indicate that the tax incentive policy (Section 45Q) plays a vital role in enhancing the economic returns of CO₂-EOR projects, especially under the depression of crude oil market. The proposed workflow has been successfully implemented to optimize a water alternative CO₂ (CO₂-WAG) injection project in a depleted oil sand in the US. The optimization results yield an incremental oil production of 15.8 MM STB and 1.37 MM metric tons of CO₂ storage in a 20-year development strategy, with the highest project NPV to be 205.6 MM US dollars.

Authors:

^[1]; Ampomah, William ^[2];

^[2]; Sun, Qian ^[3]; Huang, Xiaoliang ^[4]

Chongqing Univ. of Science and Technology (China); New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM (United States)
New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM (United States)
New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM (United States); China University of Geosciences (Beijing) (CUGB), (China)
Chongqing Univ. of Science and Technology (China)

Publication Date:: Fri Oct 08 00:00:00 EDT 2021

Research Org.:: New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE Office of Fossil Energy (FE)

OSTI Identifier:: 1977177

Grant/Contract Number:: FC26-05NT42591

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 111; Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 1750-5836

Publisher:: Elsevier

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 03 NATURAL GAS; CCUS; CO₂-EOR; Multi-objective optimization; Economics assessment; Machine learning

Citation Formats


                    You, Junyu, Ampomah, William, Morgan, Anthony, Sun, Qian, and Huang, Xiaoliang. A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO2 enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow.  United States: N. p., 2021. 
Web.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2021.103480.

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                    You, Junyu, Ampomah, William, Morgan, Anthony, Sun, Qian, & Huang, Xiaoliang. A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO2 enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2021.103480

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                    You, Junyu, Ampomah, William, Morgan, Anthony, Sun, Qian, and Huang, Xiaoliang. Fri .  
"A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO2 enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2021.103480.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1977177.

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@article{osti_1977177,

  title        = {A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO2 enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow},

  author       = {You, Junyu and Ampomah, William and Morgan, Anthony and Sun, Qian and Huang, Xiaoliang},

  abstractNote = {Carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) projects not only extract residual oil but also sequestrate CO2 in the depleted reservoirs. Here, this study develops a machine-learning-based workflow to co-optimize the hydrocarbon recovery, CO2 sequestration volume and project net present value (NPV) simultaneously. Considering the trade-off relationships among the objective functions, support vector regression with Gaussian kernel (Gaussian- SVR) proxies are coupled with multi-objective particle swarm optimization (PSO) protocol and generate Pareto optimal solutions. Taking advantage of the high computational efficacy of the proxy model, economic uncertainties introduced by tax credits, capital costs and oil price are investigated by this study. The results indicate that the tax incentive policy (Section 45Q) plays a vital role in enhancing the economic returns of CO2-EOR projects, especially under the depression of crude oil market. The proposed workflow has been successfully implemented to optimize a water alternative CO2 (CO2-WAG) injection project in a depleted oil sand in the US. The optimization results yield an incremental oil production of 15.8 MM STB and 1.37 MM metric tons of CO2 storage in a 20-year development strategy, with the highest project NPV to be 205.6 MM US dollars.},

  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijggc.2021.103480},

  journal      = {International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control},

  number       = C,

  volume       = 111,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Fri Oct 08 00:00:00 EDT 2021},

  month        = {Fri Oct 08 00:00:00 EDT 2021}

}

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Abstract

Citation Formats

CO2 geological sequestration in multiscale heterogeneous aquifers: Effects of heterogeneity, connectivity, impurity, and hysteresis journal, May 2021

Multicomponent reactive transport of carbon dioxide in fluvial heterogeneous aquifers journal, May 2019

Global optimization of multiphase flow networks using spline surrogate models journal, January 2016

Chemical effects of carbon dioxide sequestration in the Upper Morrow Sandstone in the Farnsworth, Texas, hydrocarbon unit journal, March 2016

Machine learning based co-optimization of carbon dioxide sequestration and oil recovery in CO2-EOR project journal, July 2020

Development and application of a machine learning based multi-objective optimization workflow for CO2-EOR projects journal, March 2020

Assessment of CO2 trapping mechanisms in partially depleted oil-bearing sands journal, October 2020

Impact of Three-Phase Relative Permeability and Hysteresis Models on Forecasts of Storage Associated With CO 2 -EOR: GEOLOGICAL CO 2 SEQUESTRATION journal, February 2018

Economic evaluation of aromatics production, a case study for financial model application in petrochemical projects journal, December 2017

Evaluation of CO 2 Storage Mechanisms in CO 2 Enhanced Oil Recovery Sites: Application to Morrow Sandstone Reservoir journal, September 2016

Economic co-optimization of oil recovery and CO2 sequestration journal, July 2018

Impacts of Methane on Carbon Dioxide Storage in Brine Formations journal, January 2018

Solutal convection in porous media: Comparison between boundary conditions of constant concentration and constant flux journal, September 2018

Co-optimization of enhanced oil recovery and carbon sequestration journal, November 2011

Generation of a Pareto front for a bi-objective water flooding optimization problem using approximate ensemble gradients journal, November 2016

How can carbon capture utilization and storage be incentivized in China? A perspective based on the 45Q tax credit provisions journal, September 2019

An algorithm for the use of surrogate models in modular flowsheet optimization journal, October 2008

Numerical Simulation of Carbon Dioxide Injection in the Western Section of the Farnsworth Unit journal, January 2014

Optimum design of CO2 storage and oil recovery under geological uncertainty journal, June 2017

Uncertainty Quantification for CO2 Sequestration and Enhanced Oil Recovery journal, January 2014

Reactive chemical transport simulations of geologic carbon sequestration: Methods and applications journal, September 2020

CO2 geological sequestration in heterogeneous binary media: Effects of geological and operational conditions journal, September 2020

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Carbon Storage and Enhanced Oil Recovery in Pennsylvanian Morrow Formation Clastic Reservoirs: Controls on Oil–Brine and Oil–CO2 Relative Permeability from Diagenetic Heterogeneity and Evolving Wettability journal, September 2019

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An Integrated Framework for Optimizing CO 2 Sequestration and Enhanced Oil Recovery journal, November 2013

Particle swarm algorithm with adaptive constraint handling and integrated surrogate model for the management of petroleum fields journal, September 2015

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Title: A comprehensive techno-eco-assessment of CO₂ enhanced oil recovery projects using a machine-learning assisted workflow

CO2 geological sequestration in multiscale heterogeneous aquifers: Effects of heterogeneity, connectivity, impurity, and hysteresis
journal, May 2021

Multicomponent reactive transport of carbon dioxide in fluvial heterogeneous aquifers
journal, May 2019

Global optimization of multiphase flow networks using spline surrogate models
journal, January 2016

Chemical effects of carbon dioxide sequestration in the Upper Morrow Sandstone in the Farnsworth, Texas, hydrocarbon unit
journal, March 2016

Machine learning based co-optimization of carbon dioxide sequestration and oil recovery in CO2-EOR project
journal, July 2020

Development and application of a machine learning based multi-objective optimization workflow for CO2-EOR projects
journal, March 2020

Assessment of CO2 trapping mechanisms in partially depleted oil-bearing sands
journal, October 2020

Impact of Three-Phase Relative Permeability and Hysteresis Models on Forecasts of Storage Associated With CO ₂ -EOR: GEOLOGICAL CO ₂ SEQUESTRATION
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Economic evaluation of aromatics production, a case study for financial model application in petrochemical projects
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journal, September 2016

Economic co-optimization of oil recovery and CO2 sequestration
journal, July 2018

Impacts of Methane on Carbon Dioxide Storage in Brine Formations
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Solutal convection in porous media: Comparison between boundary conditions of constant concentration and constant flux
journal, September 2018

Co-optimization of enhanced oil recovery and carbon sequestration
journal, November 2011

Generation of a Pareto front for a bi-objective water flooding optimization problem using approximate ensemble gradients
journal, November 2016

How can carbon capture utilization and storage be incentivized in China? A perspective based on the 45Q tax credit provisions
journal, September 2019

An algorithm for the use of surrogate models in modular flowsheet optimization
journal, October 2008

Numerical Simulation of Carbon Dioxide Injection in the Western Section of the Farnsworth Unit
journal, January 2014

Optimum design of CO2 storage and oil recovery under geological uncertainty
journal, June 2017

Uncertainty Quantification for CO2 Sequestration and Enhanced Oil Recovery
journal, January 2014

Reactive chemical transport simulations of geologic carbon sequestration: Methods and applications
journal, September 2020

CO2 geological sequestration in heterogeneous binary media: Effects of geological and operational conditions
journal, September 2020

An integrated simulation, inference, and optimization method for identifying groundwater remediation strategies at petroleum-contaminated aquifers in western Canada
journal, May 2008

Carbon Storage and Enhanced Oil Recovery in Pennsylvanian Morrow Formation Clastic Reservoirs: Controls on Oil–Brine and Oil–CO2 Relative Permeability from Diagenetic Heterogeneity and Evolving Wettability
journal, September 2019

Handling conflicting multiple objectives using Pareto-based evolutionary algorithm during history matching of reservoir performance
journal, January 2015

Regional production prediction technology based on gravity and magnetic data from the Eagle Ford formation, Texas, USA
conference, August 2014

An Integrated Framework for Optimizing CO ₂ Sequestration and Enhanced Oil Recovery
journal, November 2013

Particle swarm algorithm with adaptive constraint handling and integrated surrogate model for the management of petroleum fields
journal, September 2015

Uncertainty analysis of carbon sequestration in an active CO2-EOR field
journal, August 2016

Assessment of CO2 Injectivity During Sequestration in Depleted Gas Reservoirs
journal, May 2019

CO ₂ Accounting and Risk Analysis for CO ₂ Sequestration at Enhanced Oil Recovery Sites
journal, June 2016

Co-optimization of CO ₂ -EOR and storage processes in mature oil reservoirs : Original Research Article: Co-optimization of CO
journal, August 2016