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Title: Data-driven Thermal Model Inference with ARMAX, in Smart Environments, based on Normalized Mutual Information

Abstract

Understanding the models that characterize the thermal dynamics in a smart building is important for the comfort of its occupants and for its energy optimization. Here, a significant amount of research has attempted to utilize thermodynamics (physical) models for smart building control, but these approaches remain challenging due to the stochastic nature of the intermittent environmental disturbances. This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for indoor thermal model inference, which combines an Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs model (ARMAX) with a Normalized Mutual Information scheme (NMI). Based on this information-theoretic method, NMI, causal dependencies between the indoor temperature and exogenous inputs are explicitly obtained as a guideline for the ARMAX model to find the dominating inputs. For validation, we use three datasets based on building energy systems-against which we compare our method to an autoregressive model with exogenous inputs (ARX), a regularized ARMAX model, and state-space models.

Authors:
 [1]; ORCiD logo [2];  [3];  [2];  [2];  [3];  [3]
  1. Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA (United States)
  2. Bosch Research & Technology Center North America, Pittsburgh, PA (United States)
  3. Carnegie Mellon Univ., Pittsburgh, PA (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Carnegie Mellon Univ., Pittsburgh, PA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Energy Efficiency Office. Building Technologies Office; National Science Foundation (NSF)
OSTI Identifier:
1812201
Report Number(s):
DOE-CMU-07682
Journal ID: ISSN 2378-5861
Grant/Contract Number:  
EE0007682; EPSC-1101284
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Proceedings of the American Control Conference (ACC) (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Proceedings of the American Control Conference (ACC) (Online); Journal Volume: 2018; Conference: 2018 Annual American Control Conference (ACC), Milwaukee, WI (United States), 27-29 Jun 2018; Journal ID: ISSN 2378-5861
Publisher:
IEEE
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING; 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; Thermal dynamics; Disturbances; Smart buildings; Sensing; Mutual information; ARMAX; Autoregressive; State space

Citation Formats

Jiang, Zhanhong, Francis, Jonathan, Sahu, Anit Kumar, Munir, Sirajum, Shelton, Charles, Rowe, Anthony, and Berges, Mario. Data-driven Thermal Model Inference with ARMAX, in Smart Environments, based on Normalized Mutual Information. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.23919/acc.2018.8431085.
Jiang, Zhanhong, Francis, Jonathan, Sahu, Anit Kumar, Munir, Sirajum, Shelton, Charles, Rowe, Anthony, & Berges, Mario. Data-driven Thermal Model Inference with ARMAX, in Smart Environments, based on Normalized Mutual Information. United States. https://doi.org/10.23919/acc.2018.8431085
Jiang, Zhanhong, Francis, Jonathan, Sahu, Anit Kumar, Munir, Sirajum, Shelton, Charles, Rowe, Anthony, and Berges, Mario. Fri . "Data-driven Thermal Model Inference with ARMAX, in Smart Environments, based on Normalized Mutual Information". United States. https://doi.org/10.23919/acc.2018.8431085. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1812201.
@article{osti_1812201,
title = {Data-driven Thermal Model Inference with ARMAX, in Smart Environments, based on Normalized Mutual Information},
author = {Jiang, Zhanhong and Francis, Jonathan and Sahu, Anit Kumar and Munir, Sirajum and Shelton, Charles and Rowe, Anthony and Berges, Mario},
abstractNote = {Understanding the models that characterize the thermal dynamics in a smart building is important for the comfort of its occupants and for its energy optimization. Here, a significant amount of research has attempted to utilize thermodynamics (physical) models for smart building control, but these approaches remain challenging due to the stochastic nature of the intermittent environmental disturbances. This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for indoor thermal model inference, which combines an Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs model (ARMAX) with a Normalized Mutual Information scheme (NMI). Based on this information-theoretic method, NMI, causal dependencies between the indoor temperature and exogenous inputs are explicitly obtained as a guideline for the ARMAX model to find the dominating inputs. For validation, we use three datasets based on building energy systems-against which we compare our method to an autoregressive model with exogenous inputs (ARX), a regularized ARMAX model, and state-space models.},
doi = {10.23919/acc.2018.8431085},
journal = {Proceedings of the American Control Conference (ACC) (Online)},
number = ,
volume = 2018,
place = {United States},
year = {Fri Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018},
month = {Fri Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018}
}

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