Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence

Korkali, Mert; Veneman, Jason G.; Tivnan, Brian F.; Bagrow, James P.; Hines, Paul D.  H.

doi:10.1038/srep44499

Title: Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence

Abstract

Increased coupling between critical infrastructure networks, such as power and communication systems, has important implications for the reliability and security of these systems. To understand the effects of power-communication coupling, several researchers have studied models of interdependent networks and reported that increased coupling can increase vulnerability. However, these conclusions come largely from models that have substantially different mechanisms of cascading failure, relative to those found in actual power and communication networks, and that do not capture the benefits of connecting systems with complementary capabilities. In order to understand the importance of these details, this paper compares network vulnerability in simple topological models and in models that more accurately capture the dynamics of cascading in power systems. First, we compare a simple model of topological contagion to a model of cascading in power systems and find that the power grid model shows a higher level of vulnerability, relative to the contagion model. Second, we compare a percolation model of topological cascading in coupled networks to three different models of power networks coupled to communication systems. Again, the more accurate models suggest very different conclusions than the percolation model. In all but the most extreme case, the physics-based power grid models indicatemore »« less

Authors:

Korkali, Mert ^[1]; Veneman, Jason G. ^[2]; Tivnan, Brian F. ^[3]; Bagrow, James P. ^[4]; Hines, Paul D. H. ^[5]

Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States). Computational Engineering Division
The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA (United States)
The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA (United States); Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT (United States). Vermont Complex Systems Center
Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT (United States). Vermont Complex Systems Center; Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT (United States). Dept. of Mathematics & Statistics
Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT (United States). Vermont Complex Systems Center; Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT (United States). Dept. of Electrical and Biomedical Engineering

Publication Date:: Mon Mar 20 00:00:00 EDT 2017

Research Org.:: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE

OSTI Identifier:: 1349000

Report Number(s):: LLNL-JRNL-680884
Journal ID: ISSN 2045-2322

Grant/Contract Number:: AC52-07NA27344; ECCS-1254549; IIS-1447634

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: Scientific Reports

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 7; Journal ID: ISSN 2045-2322

Publisher:: Nature Publishing Group

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 42 ENGINEERING; 24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; 97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING; Complex networks; Computational science; Energy grids and networks

Citation Formats


                    Korkali, Mert, Veneman, Jason G., Tivnan, Brian F., Bagrow, James P., and Hines, Paul D.  H. Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence.  United States: N. p., 2017. 
Web.  doi:10.1038/srep44499.

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                    Korkali, Mert, Veneman, Jason G., Tivnan, Brian F., Bagrow, James P., & Hines, Paul D.  H. Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1038/srep44499

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                    Korkali, Mert, Veneman, Jason G., Tivnan, Brian F., Bagrow, James P., and Hines, Paul D.  H. Mon .  
"Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1038/srep44499.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1349000.

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@article{osti_1349000,

  title        = {Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence},

  author       = {Korkali, Mert and Veneman, Jason G. and Tivnan, Brian F. and Bagrow, James P. and Hines, Paul D.  H.},

  abstractNote = {Increased coupling between critical infrastructure networks, such as power and communication systems, has important implications for the reliability and security of these systems. To understand the effects of power-communication coupling, several researchers have studied models of interdependent networks and reported that increased coupling can increase vulnerability. However, these conclusions come largely from models that have substantially different mechanisms of cascading failure, relative to those found in actual power and communication networks, and that do not capture the benefits of connecting systems with complementary capabilities. In order to understand the importance of these details, this paper compares network vulnerability in simple topological models and in models that more accurately capture the dynamics of cascading in power systems. First, we compare a simple model of topological contagion to a model of cascading in power systems and find that the power grid model shows a higher level of vulnerability, relative to the contagion model. Second, we compare a percolation model of topological cascading in coupled networks to three different models of power networks coupled to communication systems. Again, the more accurate models suggest very different conclusions than the percolation model. In all but the most extreme case, the physics-based power grid models indicate that increased power-communication coupling decreases vulnerability. This is opposite from what one would conclude from the percolation model, in which zero coupling is optimal. Only in an extreme case, in which communication failures immediately cause grid failures, did we find that increased coupling can be harmful. Together, these results suggest design strategies for reducing the risk of cascades in interdependent infrastructure systems.},

  doi          = {10.1038/srep44499},

  journal      = {Scientific Reports},

  number       = ,

  volume       = 7,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Mon Mar 20 00:00:00 EDT 2017},

  month        = {Mon Mar 20 00:00:00 EDT 2017}

}

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Limits of Predictability of Cascading Overload Failures in Spatially-Embedded Networks with Distributed Flows
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Moussawi, Alaa; Derzsy, Noemi; Lin, Xin
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The Key Player Problem in Complex Oscillator Networks and Electric Power Grids: Resistance Centralities Identify Local Vulnerabilities
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Tyloo, Melvyn; Pagnier, Laurent; Jacquod, Philippe
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Component Importance and Interdependence Analysis for Transmission, Distribution and Communication Systems
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Fu, Tao; Wang, Dexin; Fan, Xiaoyuan
arXiv
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Similar Records

Title: Reducing Cascading Failure Risk by Increasing Infrastructure Network Interdependence

Abstract

Citation Formats

Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks journal, April 2010

Networks formed from interdependent networks journal, December 2011

Evaluating North American electric grid reliability using the Barabási–Albert network model journal, September 2005

Using Graph Models to Analyze the Vulnerability of Electric Power Networks journal, August 2006

Error and attack tolerance of complex networks journal, July 2000

Cascaded voltage collapse journal, January 1990

Industry experience with special protection schemes journal, January 1996

Abruptness of Cascade Failures in Power Grids journal, January 2014

On the role of power-grid and communication-system interdependencies on cascading failures conference, December 2013

Cascading failures in complex infrastructure systems journal, March 2009

The extreme vulnerability of interdependent spatially embedded networks journal, August 2013

A random fuse model for breaking processes journal, January 1985

Cascading Failures: Survival versus Prevention text, January 1989

Does Size Matter? journal, January 2012

Cascading dynamics and mitigation assessment in power system disturbances via a hidden failure model journal, May 2005

A simple model of global cascades on random networks journal, April 2002

Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks journal, February 2012

Does size matter? journal, June 2014

Model validation for the August 10, 1996 WSCC system outage journal, January 1999

Cascading Failures in Spatially-Embedded Random Networks journal, January 2014

Cascades in interdependent flow networks journal, June 2016

Towards designing robust coupled networks journal, June 2013

Transdisciplinary electric power grid science journal, July 2013

The spatial structure of networks journal, January 2006

Avoiding catastrophic failure in correlated networks of networks journal, September 2014

Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges journal, December 2011

Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks journal, October 1999

Impact of random failures and attacks on Poisson and power-law random networks journal, April 2011

Cascading Failures: Survival versus Prevention journal, November 2003

Benchmarking and Validation of Cascading Failure Analysis Tools journal, November 2016

Do topological models provide good information about electricity infrastructure vulnerability? journal, September 2010

Criticality in a cascading failure blackout model journal, November 2006

Complex systems analysis of series of blackouts: Cascading failure, critical points, and self-organization journal, June 2007

Cyber–Physical Security of a Smart Grid Infrastructure journal, January 2012

Protecting Smart Grid Automation Systems Against Cyberattacks journal, December 2011

Spread of epidemic disease on networks journal, July 2002

Cascade-based attacks on complex networks journal, December 2002

Model for cascading failures in complex networks journal, April 2004

Structural vulnerability of the North American power grid journal, February 2004

Revealing cascading failure vulnerability in power grids using risk-graph journal, December 2014

Validating OPA with WECC Data conference, January 2013

Detecting Critical Nodes in Interdependent Power Networks for Vulnerability Assessment journal, March 2013

Interdependent Risk in Interacting Infrastructure Systems conference, January 2007

Comparing the Topological and Electrical Structure of the North American Electric Power Infrastructure journal, December 2012

Phase transitions in supercritical explosive percolation journal, May 2013

Digital Computer Solution of Power-Flow Problems [includes discussion] journal, January 1956

Cascading Stall of Many Induction Motors in a Simple System journal, November 2012

Causes of the 2003 Major Grid Blackouts in North America and Europe, and Recommended Means to Improve System Dynamic Performance journal, November 2005

Design of a Real-Time Security Assessment Tool for Situational Awareness Enhancement in Modern Power Systems journal, May 2010

Modelling interdependent infrastructures using interacting dynamical models journal, January 2008

Robustness of a Network of Networks journal, November 2011

Model-Predictive Cascade Mitigation in Electric Power Systems With Storage and Renewables—Part I: Theory and Implementation journal, January 2015

IEEE PSRC Report on Global Industry Experiences With System Integrity Protection Schemes (SIPS) journal, October 2010

MATPOWER: Steady-State Operations, Planning, and Analysis Tools for Power Systems Research and Education journal, February 2011

Cascading Failures in Interdependent Lattice Networks: The Critical Role of the Length of Dependency Links journal, May 2012

A “Random Chemistry” Algorithm for Identifying Collections of Multiple Contingencies That Initiate Cascading Failure journal, August 2012

Statistical classification of cascading failures in power grids conference, July 2011

Does size matter?: A qualitative study into areas of corruption where a firm's size influences prospects for distributors of foreign‐made goods in Russia journal, January 2010

Towards designing robust coupled networks text, January 2013

Does size matter? book, March 2011

Cascading stall of many induction motors in a simple system conference, January 2013

Cascading Failures: Survival versus Prevention text, January 1989

Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks text, January 2009

Robustness of a Network of Networks text, January 2010

Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks text, January 2011

Cascading Failures in Interdependent Lattice Networks: The Critical Role of the Length of Dependency Links preprint, January 2012

The extreme vulnerability of interdependent spatially embedded networks text, January 2012

Transdisciplinary electric power grid science text, January 2013

Cascading failures in spatially-embedded random networks text, January 2013

Cascades in interdependent flow networks text, January 2015

The spread of epidemic disease on networks text, January 2002

Cascade-based attacks on complex networks text, January 2003

A model for cascading failures in complex networks text, January 2003

Evaluating North American Electric Grid Reliability Using the Barabasi-Albert Network Model text, January 2004

Cascades in interdependent flow networks journal, June 2016

Error and attack tolerance of complex networks journal, July 2000

Abruptness of Cascade Failures in Power Grids journal, January 2014

Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks
journal, April 2010

Networks formed from interdependent networks
journal, December 2011

Evaluating North American electric grid reliability using the Barabási–Albert network model
journal, September 2005

Using Graph Models to Analyze the Vulnerability of Electric Power Networks
journal, August 2006

Error and attack tolerance of complex networks
journal, July 2000

Cascaded voltage collapse
journal, January 1990

Industry experience with special protection schemes
journal, January 1996

Abruptness of Cascade Failures in Power Grids
journal, January 2014

On the role of power-grid and communication-system interdependencies on cascading failures
conference, December 2013

Cascading failures in complex infrastructure systems
journal, March 2009

The extreme vulnerability of interdependent spatially embedded networks
journal, August 2013

A random fuse model for breaking processes
journal, January 1985

Cascading Failures: Survival versus Prevention
text, January 1989

Does Size Matter?
journal, January 2012

Cascading dynamics and mitigation assessment in power system disturbances via a hidden failure model
journal, May 2005

A simple model of global cascades on random networks
journal, April 2002

Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks
journal, February 2012

Does size matter?
journal, June 2014

Model validation for the August 10, 1996 WSCC system outage
journal, January 1999

Cascading Failures in Spatially-Embedded Random Networks
journal, January 2014

Cascades in interdependent flow networks
journal, June 2016

Towards designing robust coupled networks
journal, June 2013

Transdisciplinary electric power grid science
journal, July 2013

The spatial structure of networks
journal, January 2006

Avoiding catastrophic failure in correlated networks of networks
journal, September 2014

Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges
journal, December 2011

Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks
journal, October 1999

Impact of random failures and attacks on Poisson and power-law random networks
journal, April 2011

Cascading Failures: Survival versus Prevention
journal, November 2003

Benchmarking and Validation of Cascading Failure Analysis Tools
journal, November 2016

Do topological models provide good information about electricity infrastructure vulnerability?
journal, September 2010

Criticality in a cascading failure blackout model
journal, November 2006

Complex systems analysis of series of blackouts: Cascading failure, critical points, and self-organization
journal, June 2007

Cyber–Physical Security of a Smart Grid Infrastructure
journal, January 2012

Protecting Smart Grid Automation Systems Against Cyberattacks
journal, December 2011

Spread of epidemic disease on networks
journal, July 2002

Cascade-based attacks on complex networks
journal, December 2002

Model for cascading failures in complex networks
journal, April 2004

Structural vulnerability of the North American power grid
journal, February 2004

Revealing cascading failure vulnerability in power grids using risk-graph
journal, December 2014

Validating OPA with WECC Data
conference, January 2013

Detecting Critical Nodes in Interdependent Power Networks for Vulnerability Assessment
journal, March 2013

Interdependent Risk in Interacting Infrastructure Systems
conference, January 2007

Comparing the Topological and Electrical Structure of the North American Electric Power Infrastructure
journal, December 2012

Phase transitions in supercritical explosive percolation
journal, May 2013

Digital Computer Solution of Power-Flow Problems [includes discussion]
journal, January 1956

Cascading Stall of Many Induction Motors in a Simple System
journal, November 2012

Causes of the 2003 Major Grid Blackouts in North America and Europe, and Recommended Means to Improve System Dynamic Performance
journal, November 2005

Design of a Real-Time Security Assessment Tool for Situational Awareness Enhancement in Modern Power Systems
journal, May 2010

Modelling interdependent infrastructures using interacting dynamical models
journal, January 2008

Robustness of a Network of Networks
journal, November 2011

Model-Predictive Cascade Mitigation in Electric Power Systems With Storage and Renewables—Part I: Theory and Implementation
journal, January 2015

IEEE PSRC Report on Global Industry Experiences With System Integrity Protection Schemes (SIPS)
journal, October 2010

MATPOWER: Steady-State Operations, Planning, and Analysis Tools for Power Systems Research and Education
journal, February 2011

Cascading Failures in Interdependent Lattice Networks: The Critical Role of the Length of Dependency Links
journal, May 2012

A “Random Chemistry” Algorithm for Identifying Collections of Multiple Contingencies That Initiate Cascading Failure
journal, August 2012

Statistical classification of cascading failures in power grids
conference, July 2011

Does size matter?: A qualitative study into areas of corruption where a firm's size influences prospects for distributors of foreign‐made goods in Russia
journal, January 2010

Towards designing robust coupled networks
text, January 2013

Does size matter?
book, March 2011

Cascading stall of many induction motors in a simple system
conference, January 2013

Cascading Failures: Survival versus Prevention
text, January 1989

Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks
text, January 2009

Robustness of a Network of Networks
text, January 2010

Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks
text, January 2011

Cascading Failures in Interdependent Lattice Networks: The Critical Role of the Length of Dependency Links
preprint, January 2012

The extreme vulnerability of interdependent spatially embedded networks
text, January 2012

Transdisciplinary electric power grid science
text, January 2013

Cascading failures in spatially-embedded random networks
text, January 2013

Cascades in interdependent flow networks
text, January 2015

The spread of epidemic disease on networks
text, January 2002

Cascade-based attacks on complex networks
text, January 2003

A model for cascading failures in complex networks
text, January 2003

Evaluating North American Electric Grid Reliability Using the Barabasi-Albert Network Model
text, January 2004

Cascades in interdependent flow networks
journal, June 2016

Error and attack tolerance of complex networks
journal, July 2000

Abruptness of Cascade Failures in Power Grids
journal, January 2014

Do topological models provide good information about electricity infrastructure vulnerability?
journal, September 2010

Does size matter?
journal, June 2014

Cascaded voltage collapse
journal, January 1990