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Title: Generating moment matching scenarios using optimization techniques

Journal Article · · SIAM Journal on Optimization
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1137/110858082 · OSTI ID:1321131
 [1];  [2]
  1. Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States); Northwestern University
  2. Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States)

An optimization based method is proposed to generate moment matching scenarios for numerical integration and its use in stochastic programming. The main advantage of the method is its flexibility: it can generate scenarios matching any prescribed set of moments of the underlying distribution rather than matching all moments up to a certain order, and the distribution can be defined over an arbitrary set. This allows for a reduction in the number of scenarios and allows the scenarios to be better tailored to the problem at hand. The method is based on a semi-infinite linear programming formulation of the problem that is shown to be solvable with polynomial iteration complexity. A practical column generation method is implemented. The column generation subproblems are polynomial optimization problems; however, they need not be solved to optimality. It is found that the columns in the column generation approach can be efficiently generated by random sampling. The number of scenarios generated matches a lower bound of Tchakaloff's. The rate of convergence of the approximation error is established for continuous integrands, and an improved bound is given for smooth integrands. Extensive numerical experiments are presented in which variants of the proposed method are compared to Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo methods on both numerical integration problems and stochastic optimization problems. The benefits of being able to match any prescribed set of moments, rather than all moments up to a certain order, is also demonstrated using optimization problems with 100-dimensional random vectors. Here, empirical results show that the proposed approach outperforms Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo based approaches on the tested problems.

Research Organization:
Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR) (SC-21)
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0005102
OSTI ID:
1321131
Journal Information:
SIAM Journal on Optimization, Journal Name: SIAM Journal on Optimization Journal Issue: 2 Vol. 23; ISSN 1052-6234
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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Cited By (7)

Risk aversion in multistage stochastic programming: A modeling and algorithmic perspective journal February 2016
An empirical analysis of scenario generation methods for stochastic optimization journal November 2016
ANN-based scenario generation methodology for stochastic variables of electric power systems journal May 2016
A copula-based scenario tree generation algorithm for multiperiod portfolio selection problems journal January 2019
Scenario generation for stochastic optimization problems via the sparse grid method journal April 2015
Scenario generation in stochastic programming using principal component analysis based on moment-matching approach journal October 2019
Performance Comparison of Scenario-Generation Methods Applied to a Stochastic Optimization Asset-Liability Management Model journal April 2018

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