Stochastic models of solar radiation and outdoor temperature
- Kobe Univ., Rokkodar-cho, Nada-ku (JP)
- Shimizu Co. Ltd., Nihonbashi-cho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo (JP)
In previous papers, the authors proposed a method of calculation that gives the maximum load and the distribution of the load of an intermittently heated building, taking account of the stochastic nature of the external climate. In this paper, as an alternative to the use of hourly historical weather data, a statistical method is proposed to generate synthetic weather data. The develop adequates stochastic models for solar radiation (ARMA model) and outdoor temperature (ARMAX model) time series, taking correlations into consideration. Furthermore, by comparing the resultant room temperatures when TAC and the output of the ARMA models are used as inputs to the thermal system, the authors can show the possible importance of auto- and cross-correlations for building thermal analysis.
- OSTI ID:
- 5201803
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-9006117-; CODEN: ASHTA
- Journal Information:
- ASHRAE Transactions (American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers); (United States), Vol. 96:2; Conference: Annual meeting of the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE), St. Louis, MO (United States), 9-13 Jun 1990; ISSN 0001-2505
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
14 SOLAR ENERGY
BUILDINGS
THERMAL ANALYSIS
SOLAR RADIATION
STATISTICAL MODELS
WEATHER
CALCULATION METHODS
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES
TEMPERATURE MONITORING
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MONITORING
RADIATIONS
STELLAR RADIATION
320105* - Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization- Building Services- (1987-)
140100 - Solar Energy- Resources & Availability