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Title: Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) Counterfactual Decision Tree

Abstract

Counterfactual is the term used to describe a "business-as-usual" scenario which used as a baseline to compare against a new project, allowing the calculation of net impacts for a life cycle analysis (LCA). The choice of counterfactual is critical for determining the results from LCA and must be carefully justified to ensure a fair and accurate comparison. Using forest residues as an example, this decision tree illustrates decision points to be considered for sustainable biomass sourcing and provides a framework for estimating the carbon emissions or storage under the "business-as-usual” scenarios for biomass otherwise destined for use in Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) projects.

Authors:
ORCiD logo ; ORCiD logo ; ORCiD logo
  1. National Laboratory of the Rockies
Publication Date:
DOE Contract Number:  
AC36-08GO28308
Research Org.:
National Laboratory of the Rockies
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Technology Transitions (OTT)
Subject:
09 BIOMASS FUELS; 37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CHEMISTRY; BiCRS; Biomass; decision tree; life cycle analysis
OSTI Identifier:
3009153
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.7799/3009153

Citation Formats

Harman-Ware, Anne E., Zhang, Yimin, and Brown, Luca. Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) Counterfactual Decision Tree. United States: N. p., 2025. Web. doi:10.7799/3009153.
Harman-Ware, Anne E., Zhang, Yimin, & Brown, Luca. Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) Counterfactual Decision Tree. United States. doi:https://doi.org/10.7799/3009153
Harman-Ware, Anne E., Zhang, Yimin, and Brown, Luca. 2025. "Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) Counterfactual Decision Tree". United States. doi:https://doi.org/10.7799/3009153. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/3009153. Pub date:Tue Dec 16 23:00:00 EST 2025
@article{osti_3009153,
title = {Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) Counterfactual Decision Tree},
author = {Harman-Ware, Anne E. and Zhang, Yimin and Brown, Luca},
abstractNote = {Counterfactual is the term used to describe a "business-as-usual" scenario which used as a baseline to compare against a new project, allowing the calculation of net impacts for a life cycle analysis (LCA). The choice of counterfactual is critical for determining the results from LCA and must be carefully justified to ensure a fair and accurate comparison. Using forest residues as an example, this decision tree illustrates decision points to be considered for sustainable biomass sourcing and provides a framework for estimating the carbon emissions or storage under the "business-as-usual” scenarios for biomass otherwise destined for use in Biomass for Carbon Removal and Storage (BiCRS) projects.},
doi = {10.7799/3009153},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Dec 16 23:00:00 EST 2025},
month = {Tue Dec 16 23:00:00 EST 2025}
}