Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report

Davis, Maggie R.; Hellwinkel, Chad; Eaton, Laurence; Langholtz, Matthew H.; Turhollow, Anthony; Brandt, Craig; Myers, Aaron

doi:10.11578/1340497

Title: Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report

Abstract

Scientific reason for data generation: to serve as the base-case scenario for the BT16 volume 1 agricultural scenarios to compare these projections of potential biomass supplies against a reference case (agricultural baseline 10.11578/1337885). The simulation runs from 2015 through 2040; a starting year of 2014 is used but not reported. How each parameter was produced (methods), format, and relationship to other data in the data set: This exogenous price simulations (also referred to as “specified-price” simulations) introduces a farmgate price, and POLYSYS solves for biomass supplies that may be brought to market in response to these prices. In specified-price scenarios, a specified farmgate price is offered constantly in all counties over all years of the simulation. This simulation begins in 2015 with an offered farmgate price for primary crop residues only between 2015 and 2018 and long-term contracts for dedicated crops beginning in 2019. Expected mature energy crop yield grows at a compounding rate of 1% beginning in 2016. The yield growth assumptions are fixed after crops are planted such that yield gains do not apply to crops already planted, but new plantings do take advantage of the gains in expected yield growth. Instruments used: Policy Analysis System –POLYSYS (versionmore »« less

Authors:

;

; Myers, Aaron

Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
University of Tennessee

Contributors:

Data Curator:

Publication Date:: Wed Jul 13 00:00:00 EDT 2016

DOE Contract Number:: AC05-00OR2272

Research Org.:: Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Transportation Office. Bioenergy Technologies Office

Subject:: 09 BIOMASS FUELS

OSTI Identifier:: 1340497

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.11578/1340497

Citation Formats


                    Davis, Maggie R., Hellwinkel, Chad, Eaton, Laurence, Langholtz, Matthew H., Turhollow, Anthony, Brandt, Craig, and Myers, Aaron. Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report.  United States: N. p., 2016. 
        Web.  doi:10.11578/1340497.

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                    Davis, Maggie R., Hellwinkel, Chad, Eaton, Laurence, Langholtz, Matthew H., Turhollow, Anthony, Brandt, Craig, & Myers, Aaron. Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report.  United States.  doi:https://doi.org/10.11578/1340497

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                    Davis, Maggie R., Hellwinkel, Chad, Eaton, Laurence, Langholtz, Matthew H., Turhollow, Anthony, Brandt, Craig, and Myers, Aaron. 2016.  
"Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report".  United States.  doi:https://doi.org/10.11578/1340497.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1340497. Pub date:Wed Jul 13 00:00:00 EDT 2016

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@article{osti_1340497,

  title        = {Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report},

  author       = {Davis, Maggie R. and Hellwinkel, Chad and Eaton, Laurence and Langholtz, Matthew H. and Turhollow, Anthony and Brandt, Craig and Myers, Aaron},

  abstractNote = {Scientific reason for data generation: to serve as the base-case scenario for the BT16 volume 1 agricultural scenarios to compare these projections of potential biomass supplies against a reference case (agricultural baseline 10.11578/1337885). The simulation runs from 2015 through 2040; a starting year of 2014 is used but not reported. How each parameter was produced (methods), format, and relationship to other data in the data set: This exogenous price simulations (also referred to as “specified-price” simulations) introduces a farmgate price, and POLYSYS solves for biomass supplies that may be brought to market in response to these prices. In specified-price scenarios, a specified farmgate price is offered constantly in all counties over all years of the simulation. This simulation begins in 2015 with an offered farmgate price for primary crop residues only between 2015 and 2018 and long-term contracts for dedicated crops beginning in 2019. Expected mature energy crop yield grows at a compounding rate of 1% beginning in 2016. The yield growth assumptions are fixed after crops are planted such that yield gains do not apply to crops already planted, but new plantings do take advantage of the gains in expected yield growth. Instruments used: Policy Analysis System –POLYSYS (version POLYS2015_V10_alt_JAN22B), an agricultural policy modeling system of U.S. agriculture (crops and livestock), supplied by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture, Agricultural Policy Analysis Center.},

  doi          = {10.11578/1340497},

  journal      = {},

  number       = ,

  volume       = ,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Wed Jul 13 00:00:00 EDT 2016},

  month        = {Wed Jul 13 00:00:00 EDT 2016}

}

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.11578/1340497

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Works referencing / citing this record:

2016 Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy
report, July 2016

Langholtz, M. H.; Stokes, B. J.; Eaton, L. M.
DOE/EE-1440
https://doi.org/10.2172/1271651

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Title: Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report

Abstract

Citation Formats

2016 Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy report, July 2016

2016 Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy
report, July 2016