Utility of Social Modeling for Proliferation Assessment - Preliminary Findings
Often the methodologies for assessing proliferation risk are focused around the inherent vulnerability of nuclear energy systems and associated safeguards. For example an accepted approach involves ways to measure the intrinsic and extrinsic barriers to potential proliferation. This paper describes preliminary investigation into non-traditional use of social and cultural information to improve proliferation assessment and advance the approach to assessing nuclear material diversion. Proliferation resistance assessment, safeguard assessments and related studies typically create technical information about the vulnerability of a nuclear energy system to diversion of nuclear material. The purpose of this research project is to find ways to integrate social information with technical information by explicitly considering the role of culture, groups and/or individuals to factors that impact the possibility of proliferation. When final, this work is expected to describe and demonstrate the utility of social science modeling in proliferation and proliferation risk assessments.
- Research Organization:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- OSTI ID:
- 990573
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-66885; NN2001000; TRN: US1007330
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: Proceedings of the 50th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Nuclear Materials Management (INMM)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Similar Records
Utility of Social Modeling for Proliferation Assessment - Preliminary Assessment
Assessing State Nuclear Weapons Proliferation: Using Bayesian Network Analysis of Social Factors
Related Subjects
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION
NUCLEAR ENERGY
NUCLEAR MATERIALS DIVERSION
NUCLEAR MATERIALS MANAGEMENT
PROLIFERATION
RISK ASSESSMENT
SAFEGUARDS
SIMULATION
VULNERABILITY
proliferation
nuclear proliferation
proliferation risk
proliferation risk assessment
proliferation resistance assessment
social modeling
technosocial