Estimating energy-augmenting technological change in developingcountry industries

Technical Report · Fri Jul 07 04:00:00 EDT 2006

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/918550· OSTI ID:918550

Sanstad, Alan H; Roy, Joyashree; Sathaye, Jayant A

Assumptions regarding the magnitude and direction ofenergy-related technological change have long beenrecognized as criticaldeterminants of the outputs and policy conclusions derived fromintegrated assessment models. Particularly in the case of developingcountries, however, empirical analysis of technological change has laggedbehind simulation modeling. This paper presents estimates of sectoralproductivity trends and energy-augmenting technological change forseveral energy-intensive industries in India and South Korea, and, forcomparison, the United States. The key findings are substantialheterogeneity among both industries and countries, and a number of casesof declining energy efficiency. The results are subject to certaintechnical qualifications both in regards to the methodology and to thedirect comparison to integrated assessment parameterizations.Nevertheless, they highlight the importance of closer attention to theempirical basis for common modeling assumptions.

• Research Organization: Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley NationalLaboratory, Berkeley, CA (US)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC02-05CH11231
• OSTI ID: 918550
• Report Number(s): LBNL--55305
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
INDIA
PRODUCTIVITY
REPUBLIC OF KOREA
SIMULATION
Technological change Developing countries Industry