Physical security and vulnerability modeling for infrasturcture facilities.

Technical Report · Sat Jul 01 00:00:00 EDT 2006

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/893151· OSTI ID:893151

Nozick, Linda Karen; Jones, Dean A; Davis, Chad Edward; Turnquist, Mark Alan

A model of malicious intrusions in infrastructure facilities is developed, using a network representation of the system structure together with Markov models of intruder progress and strategy. This structure provides an explicit mechanism to estimate the probability of successful breaches of physical security, and to evaluate potential improvements. Simulation is used to analyze varying levels of imperfect information on the part of the intruders in planning their attacks. An example of an intruder attempting to place an explosive device on an airplane at an airport gate illustrates the structure and potential application of the model.

• Research Organization: Sandia National Laboratories
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC04-94AL85000
• OSTI ID: 893151
• Report Number(s): SAND2006-4155
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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