Impact of regulatory policy on growth in the United States electric utility industry
Since the mid 1960s, the electric utility industry has faced an unprecedented array of serious and interrelated problems. Increased cost of new generating capacity, new environmental regulations, regulatory and siting delays, reduction in the growth of sales, shortages of fuel, and double digit inflation have all combined to force the utilities into their worst financial position in over forty years. A dynamic simulation model has been constructed to assist in the formulation of policy in this troubled industry. This paper provides a brief overview of the model and illustrates its use by simulating the impact of two policy measures: 1. procedural changes that reduce the delay in the regulatory process; and 2. conservationist measures that reduce the rate of growth in electricity demand. The paper concludes that a combination of regulatory changes and conservation are effective in reducing the price of electricity, providing sufficient rate of return to utilities, and insuring that adequate generating capacity is constructed to satisfy future demand for electricity. The conclusion that a reduction in the rate of growth in electricity demand would be beneficial for the electric utility industry is contrasted with industry's traditional pro-growth view. (43 references) (auth)
- Research Organization:
- Dartmouth College, Thayer School of Engineering, Research Program on Technology and Public Policy, Hanover, NH 03755
- OSTI ID:
- 7357624
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
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