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Linear economic model of fuel and energy use in the United States. Volume I. Model description and results. Final report

Technical Report ·
OSTI ID:7343522
This study is designed to develop a model for investigating the pattern of energy use in the United States and to examine the economic impacts of fuel and energy shortages. A linear programming model of the U.S. economy in 1972 with emphasis on energy and fuel use was constructed, based on the 1967 national input-output table updated to 1972. The energy sectors in the input-output table were parametrically constrined to simulate the impacts of energy shortages. The results describe the direct and indirect economic impacts of each shortage simulated. Changes in gross national product, total employment, employment by industry and occupation, fuel substitution in the electric utilities and iron and steel sectors, imports, and output by sector are among the results calculated by the model. Published final demand and industrial capacity projections for 1975, 1980, and 1985 were combined with the 1972 model to permit investigation of the impacts of energy shortages in these years. Two scenarios involving the electric utilities were constructed for 1985. This volume, Vol. 1 contains the model description and results. (GRA)
Research Organization:
California Univ., Berkeley (USA). Lawrence Berkeley Lab.
OSTI ID:
7343522
Report Number(s):
PB-252485
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English