Independent staff analysis of the California Public Utilities Commission's report on ten-year forecasts of electric utilities' loads and resources

Technical Report · Tue Sep 02 04:00:00 EDT 1975

OSTI ID:7296375

The technical evaluation of the California Public Utilities Commission's (CPUC) 10-year forecast of electricity loads and resources indicates that the CPUC forecast is subjective and judgemental. It is not based on the use of accepted analytical techniques, and neither the assumption nor the methodology were adjudged to be explicit. It is deemed impossible to estimate the reliability of the forecast, since it was inadequately documented. Wide variations in the forecasting techniques of the major public utilities and the CPUC are noted. The CPUC report is criticized for inadequately analyzing the implications of its forecasts and for not considering mandatory conservation measures. (26 references) (BLM)

• Research Organization: California Energy Resources Conservation and Development Commission, Sacramento (USA); California Energy Resources Conservation and Development Commission, Forecasting and Assessments Division, 455 Capitol Mall, First Floor, Sacramento, CA 95814
• OSTI ID: 7296375
• Report Number(s): NP-20655
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
296000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
CALIFORNIA
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
LOS ANGELES
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NORTH AMERICA
POWER
POWER DEMAND
PUBLIC UTILITIES
USA
WESTERN REGION