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U.S. Department of Energy
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Optimal attack strategy against a defended target base with a value structure

Technical Report ·
OSTI ID:7280169
This purpose of this research was to derive a set of formulas that describe the results of an optimal attack against a defended set of targets that vary in their importance. The optimal attack is one that maximizes the damage to the target set in a strike with a specified number of weapons. The corresponding strike plan is described by the number of weapons designated to attack each target. Formulas that describe the attack tactics and the resultant damage to the target set are derived for the case in which the value of the targets can be described by a Pareto distribution. the parameters that describe the attack and the target set are listed. The formulas for a case in which targets are undefended are presented,also. When targets are defended, attack results critically depend on the type of defense. Two bounding cases are described here. The first is a randomly subtractive defense. For this defense, the intended target of each attacking weapon is not known to the defender, and the impact of the defense is to randomly subtract weapons from the attack. The procedure used to determine the tactics and resultant damage in the case of randomly subtractive defenses is described. The other bounding defense case is adaptive preferential defense for which the defense knows the intended target of each attacking weapon and can adjust defensive tactics to minimize damage. The results for an adaptive preferential defense are shown. A reasonably accurate and simplified set of formulas that cover the results shown in the other tables is presented.
Research Organization:
Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
DOE; USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-48
OSTI ID:
7280169
Report Number(s):
UCRL-LR-110224; CTS--29-92; ON: DE92016769
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English