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FEA: prices hold key to energy future. [New national energy outlook]

Journal Article · · Oil Gas J.; (United States)
OSTI ID:7274297
The Federal Energy Administration paints a bleak picture of the U.S. energy outlook unless oil and gas prices are deregulated, OCS development is pursued, and strong government support is provided for alternate fuels. This is the main thrust of the agency's new National Energy Outlook, an update of its November 1974 Project Independence report. The new forecast makes little mention of 1980 goals, when energy independence originally was to be the target, but does refer often to the outlook for 1990. If oil and gas prices continue to be regulated at low levels, oil imports, now averaging about 6 million b/d, could rise to 13.5 million b/d, the report projects. With intensely accelerated production of both onshore and offshore sources under free-market pricing and increased conservation efforts, imports could drop as low as 1-2 million b/d by 1985. FEA, however, feels this is highly unlikely. Its actual forecast is that even with current world prices, oil and gas price decontrol, and present OCS production plans, imports will drop only slightly in 1985 to 5.9 million b/d. FEA has trimmed its expectations for nuclear power's contribution to future energy needs. And it now says new technologies such as solar, geothermal, and synthetic fuels will contribute only 1 percent by 1985 and will have major contributions only after 1990--if force fed by the Government. (from Introduction)
OSTI ID:
7274297
Journal Information:
Oil Gas J.; (United States), Journal Name: Oil Gas J.; (United States) Vol. 74:11; ISSN OIGJA
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English