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Fuel and energy price forecasts: quantities and long-term marginal prices. Final report. Volume I

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/7208891· OSTI ID:7208891
SRI International (formerly Stanford Research Institute) prepared forecasts of long-term marginal fuel and energy prices over the period 1985 to 2000. These projections are shown in constant 1975 dollars on a regional basis for the United States. The major sources of energy analyzed are coal, uranium, crude oil, ''syncrude'' (produced from coal or oil shale), petroleum products, natural gas, and synthetic gas. Prices are shown at different levels of the energy system, e.g., from the point of production through consumption. Prices of delivered fuels are presented for four sectors: electric power generation, residential/commercial, industrial, and transportation. Because all fuels in the energy system are interrelated, the emphasis in the study was to specify these relationships and to forecast prices (and quantities) at every level of the energy system. This was done within the framework of the SRI National Energy Model that explicitly models primary energy production and conversion, transportation and distribution, and end-use conversion.
Research Organization:
SRI International, Menlo Park, Calif. (USA)
OSTI ID:
7208891
Report Number(s):
EPRI-EA-433(Vol.1)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English