Spatial form and structure in a possible future: some implications of energy shortfall for urban planning

Journal Article · Sun Jul 01 04:00:00 EDT 1979 · J. Am. Plan. Assoc.; (United States)

OSTI ID:7154099

Till, Jr, Van

Five alternate scenarios for future energy supply are developed, ranging from a steady growth in supply to a decline to 75% of 1977 levels by the year 2000. These scenarios are applied to four models of spatial form and structure: present trends projected, general dispersion, concentrated super-city, and diversified-integrated cities. Only the last form is judged to be viable in the energy-short scenarios. The implications for social organization include strict limits on new construction and on the personal use of fuel-powered transportation, as well as the development of urban and suburban nodes as the prevailing spatial form. Planners are urged to consider these implications when planning future spatial development. 50 references, 2 figures, 6 tables.

• Research Organization: Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ
• OSTI ID: 7154099
• Journal Information: J. Am. Plan. Assoc.; (United States), Journal Name: J. Am. Plan. Assoc.; (United States) Vol. 45:3; ISSN JAPAD
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
320600 -- Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization-- Municipalities & Community Systems-- (1980-)
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SHORTAGES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS
LAND USE
PLANNING
SHORTAGES
SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS
URBAN AREAS